差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

零售股拋售潮引發美股再度暴跌,哪些ETF有助於避險?

近期,美股市場表現一片慘澹,各大巨頭企業紛紛公佈Q1財報,受到高通脹的影響,美國兩大零售巨頭塔吉特和沃爾瑪業績相繼暴雷,隨即引發了零售股的拋售潮,美股一度全面暴跌。

避險情緒在4月以來主導了市場,股票型ETF也不免會受到影響,結束了持續凈流入的記錄。 在市場急劇震蕩的環境中,股票型ETF投資者應該如何調整投資組合以實現風險最小化?

美股經歷驚心動魄的一周

過去一周,美股走勢可以說是驚心動魄,在短暫的反彈之後再度暴跌,納斯達克和標普500指數跌幅4%至5%不等,道指也重挫1164.52點下跌近4%。

這次大範圍下挫的主因仍然是高通脹引發的市場恐慌,尤其是高通脹對零售業的巨大衝擊開始顯現,零售企業一方面面對高庫存、高成本的壓力,另一方面高通脹也在不斷打擊消費者支出。

全球零售業龍頭沃爾瑪Q1業績不及市場預期,財報顯示其Q1凈利潤為20.5億美元,同比降低25%,另一零售巨頭塔吉特Q1凈利潤10.09億美元,同比大幅下滑51.9%。 兩大巨頭的Q1業績暴雷引發零售股股價重挫和拋售潮,拖累整體大市走向。

哪些ETF仍在受市場青睞?

其實,從4月以來美股走勢震蕩幅度加大,投資者避險情緒開始充斥市場,由於預期主要央行緊縮對經濟及平抑通脹的效果在今年下半年才會逐漸顯現,短期內通脹對於股市的負面影響可能還會持續。

受到大市低迷的影響,有利於分散風險的股票型ETF的表現也受到了一些衝擊,但是仍然有一些ETF逆市受到青睞。 道富全球顧問最新報告顯示,美國ETF基金4月份凈流出105億美元,主要凈流出在於全球型股票ETF,結束了創紀錄的34個月凈流入紀錄,在此期間美國ETF吸金1.8兆美元。

在最近一周,整體股票型ETF凈流出61.42億美元。 雖然美股走勢高度震蕩,但是仍獲28.16億美元凈流入,日本與亞太區也獲7.3億與1.57億美元凈流入,主要凈流出全球型股票ETF有38.12億美元。

正是由於當前的經濟形勢面臨較大不確定性,股市的震蕩加劇,投資者對於股票型ETF的資產配置也應及時有所調整。 今年前4個月,能源ETF表現最為亮眼,但是由於俄烏之戰爭存在較大不確定性,如果戰爭一旦結束,這一版塊未來可能將會面臨修正。

當前,投資者應該將投資重點放在抗商業週期迴圈、抗通脹和價值型的ETF投資產品,包括基礎建設、公用事業產業型、天然資源產業型的ETF等。 另外,一些有關低碳、節能的中長期綠色投資主題的ETF也有望在未來產生較理想的表現,包括碳中和、綠色能源、綠色電力等。

值得關注的是,受惠於超短期和短期政府債券ETF的推動,4月份固定收益ETF凈賺約84億美元。 由於各國目前都紛紛採取緊縮的貨幣政策對抗通脹,利率走勢較為波動的環境中,適當增加配置一些投資等級公司債且具有穩定票息的ETF可降低整體投資組合波動,達到避險的效果。

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