差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元指數測試一個重要支撐位

美元重返看跌情緒,該指數測試了關鍵支撐位97.82。

USDX – Daily Chart
美元-日線圖

當中東發生一些衝突時,美元指數未能回到100以上的水平。現在有可能出現進一步的疲軟。

如果跌至97.82以下,可能會引發全球貨幣兌美元的反彈。聯準會的鴿派言論進一步給美元帶來了壓力。

聯準會官員最近的鴿派言論增加了7月降息的希望,最有可能的是9月,並增加了美元的壓力。

聯準會副主席鮑曼和投票委員沃勒都呼籲7月降息。關稅的通膨影響可能超過市場預期,這將使央行能夠支持疲軟的勞動力市場。

聯準會主席鮑威爾週二在國會作證時說,儘管總統最近向他施加了大幅降息的壓力,但降息「可以等一等」。

鮑威爾說:“今年關稅的增加可能會推高價格,給經濟活動帶來壓力。”

「對通膨的影響可能是短暫的——反映了價格水平的一次性變化。還有一種可能是,通膨效應反而會更加持久。”

他補充說,聯準會“在考慮對我們的政策立場進行任何調整之前,有充分的條件等待更多關於經濟可能走向的信息。”

如果不能很快降息,鮑威爾將繼續承受壓力,但美元並沒有顯示出聯準會頑固的跡象。市場似乎正在消化中期降息的預期。

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