差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元兌加幣匯率因雙重就業數據而成為焦點

週五,美元兌加元將關注美國和加拿大經濟的就業數據。

USDCAD – Daily Chart

美元兌加幣 – 日線圖

美元兌加元在 1.36 水平遇到阻力,此後跌至 1.3506,並有一些上升趨勢支撐。 在最近的失敗之後,市場可能會測試1.34水平。

加元週四晚間也將公佈貿易平衡數據,預期為 8 億加元,而先前為 5 億加元。

上週,該國未能與英國達成雙向貿易協議。 預計這將增加起司、牛肉和汽車的關稅。 2023 年,該產業對加拿大的出口額達 7 億英鎊。 然而,成本現在將轉嫁給加拿大企業和消費者。

加拿大的GDP成長率仍大幅落後美國,美國成長3.4%,而加拿大成長0.2%。 然而,美國的經濟成長速度可能會放緩。

Citadel 億萬富翁對沖基金創辦人 Ken Griffin 表示:「在央行堅持對抗通膨壓力的情況下,未來幾季經濟成長可能會溫和,低於潛力」。

投資人押注,在即將到來的降息週期結束時,美國利率仍將顯著高於聯準會的預期。

高盛首席經濟學家 Jan Hatzius 預測,聯準會所謂的最終利率將在 3.25% 至 3.5% 之間,而聯準會「有一點維持現狀的偏見」。 哈祖斯表示,雖然聯準會一直在上調長期利率預測,但上調的速度「比我預期的要緩慢」。

加元繼續受益於油價上漲,美國原油週四觸及 86.70 美元。 供應擔憂幫助油價在上周保持健康的連漲勢頭。 烏克蘭對俄羅斯煉油廠的持續襲擊是另一個推高油價的問題。 週五報告公佈後,強勁的就業數據可能有助於提振加幣。

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