差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

白銀跳漲至53美元上方,因市場傳現貨短缺

白銀價格追趕黃金價格上漲,跳漲至50美元以上,因為交易商談論實體短缺。

XAGUSD – Daily Chart

現貨白銀-日線圖

現貨白銀從7月的40.00美元以下飆升至53.00美元左右。 2011年的高點是50美元,這是進一步上漲的關鍵支撐位。

全球白銀市場正面臨數十年來最大的危機,印度在節日期間的需求出現了前所未有的激增。印度週六慶祝了排燈節,週一慶祝了排燈節,由於金價飆升,數百萬人爭相購買白銀。

MMTC-Pamp India的Vipin Raina告訴彭博社,白銀的規模超出了預期。印度最大的貴金屬精煉廠有史以來第一次耗盡了金屬。

他表示:“在我27年的職業生涯中,我從未見過這種瘋狂的市場——人們在這樣的價位買入。”

短缺也波及到倫敦,交易商稱市場“幾近崩潰”,主要銀行拒絕報價。儘管倫敦金融城持有超過360億美元的白銀,但其中大部分由交易所交易基金(ETF)的投資者持有。

根據彭博社的數據,從2025年初開始,ETF投資者已經購買了超過1億盎司的白銀。這減少了可用於滿足印度等國突然需求的庫存。

最大的貴金屬交易商摩根大通已經通知客戶,10月沒有多餘的白銀可交付給印度。情況變得如此糟糕,以至於印度的基金經理人被迫停止了對其基金的新認購。

由於最近的事件引發了一些囤積,白銀市場可能會繼續緊張。銀行可能希望增加儲備,以避免未來出現問題。

同時,Hecla Mining前執行長Phil Baker表示,目前的白銀市場與2011年那次失敗的突破不同。他提到了前所未有的、持續多年的供應短缺,以及投資者心理的深刻轉變。

由於貝克所說的實物需求“永不滿足”,而供應鏈嚴重受限,白銀供應短缺已進入第五年。他說:「黃金的需求量大約是12億盎司,而來自金礦的供應量大約是8億盎司。「回收可能會產生1.5億盎司…它不能填補空白。 」

50美元目前是銀價的關鍵水準,若找到該水準的支撐,白銀可能會繼續走高。

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