尽管就业数据强劲,美国股市涨跌互现

本周,随着美国最新就业报告的发布,美国经济再次成为关注焦点。

SPX500 - Daily Chart

标普500指数 – 日线图

标普500指数的价格已经消化了自2025年底以来的三波抛售,这可能预示着未来可能出现进一步的突破性上涨。

美国1月份非农就业人数增幅创一年多来新高,失业率也意外下降,但由于去年同期数据的修正,股市出现下跌。

上个月,新增就业岗位13万个,失业率降至4.3%。此前,去年同期的数据被修正,显示招聘速度明显放缓。去年平均每月新增就业岗位仅为1.5万个,低于此前公布的4.9万个。

根据美国劳工统计局的最新数据,1月份非农就业人数增加了13万。这一数字高于预期的5.5万人,劳动力市场也呈现出强劲的迹象。

周二公布的数据显示,美国12月份零售销售额与去年同期持平,低于此前预期的0.4%的月度增幅;剔除汽车及零部件的核心零售销售额也与去年同期持平。

富国银行策略师加里·施洛斯伯格表示:“最新的消费者支出数据并未改变市场对美联储再次降息的预期,联邦基金期货市场仍然预期美联储将在6月17日的会议上采取降息措施。”

在唐纳德·特朗普提名美联储主席人选出乎投资者意料之后,股市一直疲软。

目前,市场需要看到更疲软的数据,以迫使美联储在下一轮利率路径上采取鸽派立场。

克利夫兰联储主席贝丝·哈马克表示,利率可能会在较长一段时间内保持不变。

她表示:“与其试图微调联邦基金利率,我更倾向于保持耐心,以便评估近期降息的影响并观察经济运行情况。”

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