经济数据公布前欧元兑英镑汇率走高

来自英国和欧洲经济的数据将推动明日的欧元兑英镑汇率走势。

EURGBP – Weekly Chart

欧元英镑-周线图

欧元兑英镑自7月中旬以来一直在反弹,最近几天出现了阻力,这将是进一步反弹的主要障碍。

本周公布的重要英国经济数据将检验英国央行政策制定者下月不降息的理由,因预计今年首次出现更高的通胀。

英国国家统计局将于周三公布最新数据。伦敦金融城的经济学家预计,7月份消费者价格将加速至2.3%。这将是自去年12月以来通货膨胀率的首次上升,略高于5月份央行2%的目标。

尽管服务价格有所放缓,但分析师预计,去年7月能源价格大幅下跌将带来压力。

英国央行在8月份下调了利率,但更高的物价可能会迫使央行在9月份暂停降息。市场预计,到今年年底,还会有两次25个基点的降息。

在这些数据之前,周二香港时间下午2点还有英国就业数据,随后是下午5点的德国和欧元区经济信心数据。英国经济上个月创造了1.9万个就业岗位,并将在此基础上继续发展。

欧元区的信心指数预计将从41.8降至38,因为经济学家的情绪有所恶化。

经济学家预测,到明年年底,欧洲央行将每季度下调一次基准利率。通胀率也升至2.6%,但经济学家预计今年还会有进一步的降息。

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