差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

儘管就業數據強勁,美國股市漲跌互現

本週,隨著美國最新就業報告的發布,美國經濟再次成為焦點。

SPX500 - Daily Chart

標普500指數 – 日線圖

標普500指數的價格已經消化了自2025年底以來的三波拋售,這可能預示著未來可能出現進一步的突破性上漲。

美國1月非農業就業人數增幅創一年多來新高,失業率也意外下降,但由於去年同期數據的修正,股市出現下跌。

上個月,新增就業13萬個,失業率降至4.3%。此前,去年同期的數據被修正,顯示招募速度明顯放緩。去年平均每月新增就業人數僅1.5萬個,低於先前公佈的4.9萬個。

根據美國勞工統計局的最新數據,1月非農業就業人數增加了13萬人。這一數字高於預期的5.5萬人,勞動市場也呈現強勁的跡象。

週二公佈的數據顯示,美國12月份零售銷售額與去年同期持平,低於先前預期的0.4%的月增幅;剔除汽車及零件的核心零售銷售額也與去年同期持平。

富國銀行策略師加里·施洛斯伯格表示:“最新的消費者支出數據並未改變市場對聯準會再次降息的預期,聯邦基金期貨市場仍然預期聯準會將在6月17日的會議上採取降息措施。”

在唐納德·川普提名聯準會主席選出乎投資者意料之後,股市一直疲軟。

目前,市場需要看到更疲軟的數據,以迫使聯準會在下一輪利率路徑上採取鴿派立場。

克利夫蘭聯邦儲備銀行主席貝絲·哈馬克表示,利率可能在較長一段時間內保持不變。

她表示:“與其試圖微調聯邦基金利率,我更傾向於保持耐心,以便評估近期降息的影響並觀察經濟運作。”

關於作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亞太區首席分析師,在全球外匯及投資市場擁有逾 20 年的經驗。他畢業於迪肯大學(Deakin University),主修金融與經濟學,並曾在多家領先的外匯經紀公司擔任高級管理職位。

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