美国银行股业绩将在周三考验涨势

随着摩根大通 (NYSE:JPM) 公布第四季度业绩,美国股市将于周三开始迎来大型银行财报季。

JPM – Daily Chart

摩根大通-日图

摩根大通股价已升至去年11月开盘价差的支撑位上方。如果业绩令人失望,这将是支撑位。但目前的目标是250美元上方的历史高点。

美国股市将在周三受到关注,摩根大通、花旗集团和富国银行将在美国股市开盘前公布财报。

摩根大通将开启2024年第四季度财报季,这家美国最大的银行的财报将吸引大量关注,首席执行官杰米•戴蒙将对经济和总统更迭发表见解。

尽管面临全行业经营挑战,但摩根大通第三季度表现强劲,第四季度收入预计为409.2亿美元,同比增长6.1%。该公司连续四个季度的收益超出预期的平均幅度为7.73%。

在美联储将利率下调50个基点至4.25-4.5%之后,净利息收入将再次成为关注焦点。随着融资/存款成本的上升有所下降,加上9月份的降息,这可能会给摩根大通的净利息收入(NII)带来一些支持。

最近美联储降息路径的明确性,以及美国国内和全球稳定的经济背景,可能为贷款前景提供了进一步支持。美联储还公布了第四季度前两个月商业和工业、房地产和消费贷款的积极数据。

摩根大通的另一个利好因素可能是并购费用,因为第四季度的并购市场比2023年更加乐观。管理层预计企业和投资银行业务的IB收入将同比增长45%。

银行业财报将为本周股市定下基调,上周标准普尔500指数收于严重看跌。摩根大通的表现一直强于同行,花旗和富国银行等银行可能会让人们更清楚地了解该行的整体实力。

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