美元兑日元跟随债券大跌而回落

在日本债券拍卖疲软引发对该国债务水平的担忧后,美元兑日元汇率走低。

USDJPY – Daily Chart
美元兑日元-日线图

美元兑日元再次回落至144.30,有可能会向142进一步下跌。9月低点139.63将是更大的考验。

日本债券市场人气受到2012年以来最糟糕的拍卖需求的影响。在此之前,日本较长期债券收益率近期飙升,波动性加剧,部分原因是美国近期的政策措施。投资者担心央行会退出市场。

日本一直是美国国债的最大买家,官方数据显示,3月份日本持有1.13万亿美元的美国国债。日本经济的任何问题最终都可能对美国产生反作用。

日本首相石破茂对财政状况表示悲观:

“我们国家的财政状况无疑极其糟糕,比希腊还糟糕。”

日本上周公布,上个季度的GDP增长出现萎缩,投资者担心经济衰退。周一,在40年期公债收益率触及20年来未见的高位后,借款成本上升。

在将自己定位为遏制“安倍经济学”过度行为的鹰派之后,石破茂当选首相。

在美国债务评级下调后,随着资本流动可能发生变化,美元兑日元可能成为未来几个月值得关注的货币,目前来看,可能会跌至去年9月的低点。

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