英镑兑美元汇率可能已达到峰值

英镑兑美元汇率已突破近期阻力位,但市场可能朝着有利于美元的方向发展。

GBPUSD - Weekly Chart

英镑兑美元 – 周线图

英镑兑美元已突破阻力位 1.31183,但现在面临潜在的回撤。支撑位位于 1.28 附近的上升趋势线,但目标位将位于该水平以下的 1.23。

周三将是英镑兑美元的关键一天,FOMC 将公布会议纪要。几周前央行降息,但这是一份重要的报告,可以了解人们对经济的基本看法以及降息的原因。波动性应该会加剧,交易员将热衷于预测进一步降息的路径。

周四将公布通胀数据,核心和基础 CPI 将于周四公布,该报告也将受到关注。之前的核心报告高于预期,基础报告在月度和年度水平上都符合预期。也可能出现修正,焦点是美联储 11 月的计划。

周五将发布 PPI 和核心 PPI 数据,这些数据与 CPI 类似,可能进一步延续周三的趋势。PPI 是生产者端价格变化,上个月这两个数据都高于预期,因此交易员将热切关注通胀是否仍在下降。

美国东海岸早期的码头工人罢工应该会支撑美元价格,中东局势也有可能进一步紧张。

截至周日下午,尚未看到任何行动,但以色列不太可能对上周的导弹袭击进行报复。美国敦促以色列不要袭击伊朗的石油设施,并敦促该国考虑“其他替代方案”。

任何升级都可能为美元提供支撑,英国最近的经济问题也可能损害英镑,因为新政府面临艰难的决定。

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