美国股市在大规模轧空中大幅反弹

美国股市大规模轧空下,抹去了特朗普关税带来的大部分损失。

HK 50 – Daily Chart

标准普尔500指数-日线图

在未能在5721点找到支撑后,标准普尔500指数的价格下跌,该位也是特朗普的选举胜利带来反弹的关键价位。随后,支撑位完美发挥作用,突破5389点,迅速升至2022年高点4818点左右。

上周,在全球股市市值蒸发数万亿美元后,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普宣布暂停关税90天,华尔街股市飙升。

政策变化还包括在90天内将总关税降低10%,并将中国进口商品的关税从隔夜生效的104%提高到125%。

关税宣布后,基准美国国债收益率回吐涨幅,此前美国政府拍卖了390亿美元的10年期国债。在市场暴跌导致交易员纷纷套现后,强劲的需求依然存在。

“这对市场来说是个好消息……在更广泛地强调降低投资组合风险的背景下,看到美国债券遭到抛售是非常奇怪的。看到信贷市场的压力越来越大,确实令人担忧。所以今天我松了一口气,”坦格伍德财富管理公司的汤姆•布鲁斯表示。

在困难时期,债券总是安全的避风港,但市场担心美元的长期稳定性。

“现在看起来,这一切似乎都与中国有关。当然,对像我这样的经济学家来说,庞大的关税方案毫无意义。感觉他们通过制造最大的混乱来创造最大的杠杆——经典的博弈论。所以我们需要缓一缓,我们得到了。”布鲁斯补充道。

关税下滑已经从市场上消退,但这种波动是一个警告,表明股市估值很高,面临市场转向的风险。

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