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Important Notice - Fraud awareness
Important Notice - Scam alert
The vast majority of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs / Spread betting work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Bitcoin Consolidates in a Tight Trading Range

Daily volatility is low in Bitcoin as the cryptocurrency consolidates in a tight range.

BTCUSD – Daily Chart

BTCUSD – Daily Chart

The price of BTC trades between $26,000 and $28,000, and a potential breakout is coming. 

Bitcoin is suffering from a lack of a bullish catalyst, with some fearing that the coin could suffer from the US debt deal.

The US reached its debt limit of $31.4 trillion in January, leading to measures from the Treasury to keep the government functioning. That has meant assets like bitcoin have been under pressure as fears of government default and lower liquidity remain. 

The Treasury General Account balance has declined from $500 billion at the start of February to $68 billion last week, according to MacroMicro. The figure is expected to drop to $30 billion in early June, so a debt deal is needed before then.

If a deal is reached, the Treasury must rebuild its cash balance by issuing new government bonds. That could take liquidity out of the system and add to bond yields.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Bitcoin is sensitive to dollar swings, and a debt deal would also likely lead to a rally in the dollar as overseas investors come back to the greenback without default fears. 

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard helped the outlook for BTC by predicting no fewer than two more rate hikes would come this year. 

“I’m thinking, you know, two more moves this year. Exactly where those moves would be this year I don’t know, but I’ve often advocated ‘sooner rather than later’” said during a conference in Texas.

Last Updated: 23/05/2023

This market commentary and analysis has been prepared for ATFX by a third party for general information purposes only. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell as it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives, and should therefore not be interpreted as financial, investment or other advice, or relied upon as such. You should therefore seek independent advice before making any investment decisions. This information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. We aim to establish and maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. The market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however we make no representation or warranty of its accuracy or completeness, and accept no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients. Reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, is not permitted.


 

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