Fed Delivers Hawkish Shockwave, BOE Keeps Markets on Edge

(By ATFX Analyst Team)

 

Key Takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve implemented a widely anticipated 25 basis point rate increase and indicated that additional tightening remains probable.
  • Updated projections suggest one further hike in 2026, alongside upward revisions to both inflation and economic growth forecasts.
  • The institution’s hawkish stance contributed to weaker risk sentiment: U.S. equities declined, gold and crude oil retreated, and the U.S. dollar reached a five-week high.

Market attention now shifts to the Bank of England, where rates are projected to remain unchanged. Investors will scrutinize the voting split and policy guidance for indications of divisions within the Monetary Policy Committee. Any adjustment in the BoE’s outlook could introduce heightened volatility in GBP and UK equity markets.

 

Global Market Review 17/09/2026

  • U.S. equities declined following the Federal Reserve’s rate increase.
  • U.S. Treasury yields rose, and the Dollar Index advanced 0.3% to a near five-week high.
  • Spot gold declined by 0.7% following a volatile session, despite an intraday recovery of over 1%.
  • Oil prices retreated on news of increased Saudi crude supply via Oman, which alleviated concerns regarding Middle East supply risks.

 

Key Events Today:

Time (GMT+8)EventImportance
17:00EU CPI Final AUG**
19:00BoE Interest Rate Decision & Meeting Minutes***
20:30US Housing Starts & Building Permits AUG**
20:30US Initial Jobless Claims***
22:00US Pending Home Sales AUG**

Key Events on Sep 18 (GMT+8)

Time (GMT+8)EventImportance
07:30JP Core CPI AUG**
11:00BoJ Interest Rate Decision***
14:00EU GERMANY PPI YoY AUG**
14:00GB Retail Sales MoM AUG**
14:30BOJ Press Conference***
18:30ECB President Lagarde Speech***
21:15US Industrial Production MoM AUG**
21:15US Manufacturing Production MoM AUG**
22:00US CB Leading Index AUG**

 

Markets Analysis 17/09/2026

EURUSD chart on 17 September 2026 with resistance 1.1489 and 1.1512 support 1.1436 and 1.1413 showing bearish bias

  • Resistance: 1.1489 / 1.1512
  • Support: 1.1436 / 1.1413

EUR/USD slipped below 1.1500 as higher U.S. yields and a stronger dollar followed the Fed’s hawkish guidance.

Analyst View: The pair has fallen to its lowest level since late July and may extend losses toward 1.1450 and below as markets continue to price in tighter Fed policy. Eurozone CPI data will be closely watched.

Bias: Bearish

 

GBPUSD chart on 17 September 2026 with resistance 1.3427 and 1.3451 support 1.3327 and 1.3304 showing bearish bias

  • Resistance: 1.3427 / 1.3451
  • Support: 1.3327 / 1.3304

Sterling remains near multi-week lows, with U.S. dollar strength prevailing ahead of the Bank of England policy meeting.

Analyst View: After its sharpest decline since June, the 1.3400 region has become an important resistance level. The BoE statement is likely to determine the pair’s next directional move.

Bias: Bearish

 

USDJPY chart on 17 September 2026 with resistance 156.75 and 157.20 support 155.28 and 154.83 showing short-term bullish bias

  • Resistance: 156.75 / 157.20
  • Support: 155.28 / 154.83

USD/JPY advanced for a third straight session after the Fed decision, with attention now shifting to the BoJ meeting.

Analyst View: Momentum remains constructive after the pair held above its 10-day moving average. A test of 156.90 is possible, although gains could be capped ahead of the BoJ announcement.

Bias: Short-Term Bullish

 

US Crude Oil Futures (OCT) chart on 17 September 2026 with resistance 104.65 and 106.73 support 99.87 and 97.75 showing high-level consolidation bias

  • Resistance: 104.65 / 106.73
  • Support: 99.87 / 97.75

Oil prices moderated amid reports of increased Saudi supply and a smaller-than-expected drawdown in U.S. crude inventories.

Analyst View: The pullback suggests some moderation in bullish momentum. As long as prices remain above support near the 10-day moving average around $98.90, the broader trend remains constructive.

Bias: High-Level Consolidation

 

Spot Gold (XAU/USD) chart on 17 September 2026 with resistance 4370 and 4397 support 4256 and 4229 showing mild recovery bias

  • Resistance: 4370 / 4397
  • Support: 4256 / 4229

 

Spot Silver (XAG/USD) chart on 17 September 2026 with resistance 65.20 and 65.80 support 62.69 and 62.09 showing mild recovery bias

  • Resistance: 65.20 / 65.80
  • Support: 62.69 / 62.09

Gold experienced renewed pressure following the Federal Reserve’s reaffirmation of its tightening stance, although a modest rebound has occurred in Asian trading hours.

Analyst View: The rebound is testing resistance around $4,340 after yesterday’s volatile session. A sustained break above this area is needed to improve the near-term outlook.

Bias: Mild Recovery

 

Dow Jones Futures chart on 17 September 2026 with resistance 52036 and 52407 support 51194 and 50811 showing selling pressure easing bias

  • Resistance: 52,036 / 52,407
  • Support: 51,194 / 50,811

The Dow Jones underperformed relative to other major U.S. indices as Federal Reserve communications signaled that policy tightening may continue.

Analyst View: Following its steepest decline in nearly a month, bargain-hunting could help stabilise sentiment and limit further downside pressure in the near term.

Bias: Selling Pressure Easing

 

NASDAQ 100 chart on 17 September 2026 with resistance 29308 and 29409 support 29005 and 28878 showing selling pressure easing bias

  • Resistance: 29,308 / 29,409
  • Support: 29,005 / 28,878

Large-cap technology stocks provided relative resilience for the Nasdaq, mitigating losses despite the Federal Reserve’s hawkish communications.

Analyst View: Support emerged near early-August lows. A recovery above 29,000 is possible, although resistance around 29,300 remains a key hurdle.

Bias: Selling Pressure Easing

 

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart on 17 September 2026 with resistance 77841 and 78552 support 75550 and 74827 showing mild recovery bias

  • Resistance: 77,841 / 78,552
  • Support: 75,550 / 74,827

Bitcoin remains near a three-week low, weighed down by the Federal Reserve’s rate hike and persistent macroeconomic and regulatory pressures.

Analyst View: The 10-day moving average near $77,000 remains the key resistance level. Unless it breaks decisively, BTC is likely to remain in consolidation.

Bias: Mild Recovery

Enjoy trading! The content is for reference only. Please ensure that you understand the risk.

About the author

 

Martin Lam is ATFX Chief Analyst for Asia Pacific, with over 20 years of experience in global forex and investment markets. He holds a degree in Finance and Economics from Deakin University and has held senior roles at leading FX brokerage firms.

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