Iran and Israel Pause Attacks; Markets Pause for Breather Ahead of US Inflation Data

(By ATFX Analyst Team)

Key Takeaways

Ceasefire: Iran and Israel paused attacks after the US calls for peace, improving market risk sentiment.

Today’s Focus: With a light economic calendar, geopolitics take center stage. Investors look ahead to tomorrow’s US inflation data, while Germany’s April industrial output is expected to improve, and US May home sales may show modest gains.

 

Global Market Review 09/06/2026

US semiconductor stocks rebounded, boosting the Nasdaq and the S&P 500. The US Dollar dipped but remained near two-month highs. Gold steadied after losses, while crude oil rose slightly on Middle East news.

 

Key Events Today:

  • 14:00 EU GERMANY Industrial Production MoM APR **
  • 20:30 US Balance of Trade APR **
  • 22:00 US Existing Home Sales MAY **

June 10th

  • 04:30 API Crude Oil Stock Change ***
  • 09:30 CN CPI & PPI MAY **
  • 20:30 US CPI MAY ***
  • 21:45 BoC Interest Rate Decision ***
  • 22:30 BoC Press Conference ***
  • 22:30 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change **

 

Markets Analysis 09/06/2026

20260609 EURUSD Keys Instruments

  • Resistance: 1.1564/1.1576
  • Support: 1.1509/1.1496

The Euro rebounded but stayed near recent lows, consolidating below 1.1550 and holding above 1.1500 support.

Analyst View: EUR/USD likely to stay range-bound ahead of US inflation and ECB decisions. A breach above 1.1550 could target 1.1580 resistance.

Bias: Short-term bearish

20260609 GBPUSD Keys Instruments

  • Resistance: 1.3381/1.3406
  • Support: 1.3302/1.3278

As Iran and Israel ceased hostilities, market sentiment improved. This indirectly drove GBP/USD to rebound from its intraday low near 1.3306 on Monday, and it continues to hold the support level from the May 18 low.

Analyst View: With GBP/USD holding above its previous low, it may continue to attempt a rebound during the day. If it climbs back above 1.3380, it is expected to break out of its low-range pattern, with key resistance sitting around the 1.3400 psychological mark.

Bias: Short-term bearish

20260609 USDJPY Keys Instruments

  • Resistance: 160.42/160.85
  • Support: 160.08/159.74

USD/JPY consolidated above the 160.00 level yesterday, tracking the US dollar slightly lower. Market concerns that authorities might intervene again to support the Yen capped further bullish bets.

Analyst View: The pair is trading within a narrow range at elevated levels, indicating that bulls are cautiously waiting on the sidelines. The 10-day MA below at 159.85 is crucial for defending the recent upward channel and bullish momentum.

Bias: Wait-and-see

20260609 US Crude Oil Futures (JUL) Keys Instruments

  • Resistance: 94.49/95.76
  • Support: 87.93/86.35

As Iran and Israel agreed to cease attacks, crude oil prices rose initially before falling yesterday, giving back most of their gains by late trading. Oil briefly broke above $95 before reversing course, though it still posted a modest gain.

Analyst View: Oil prices approached the 20-day MA yesterday, which has been a key resistance since last week. Without positive news for a breakout, the upside for prices is limited. Attention shifts to the 10-day MA; losing this support could lead to a drop below $90.

Bias: Short-term bearish

20260609 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Keys Instruments

  • Resistance: 4400/4427
  • Support: 4251/4224

20260609 Spot Silver Keys Instruments

  • Resistance: 73.59/75.75
  • Support: 63.67/61.55

Gold dipped below $4300 before recovering. Uncertainty and bets on a US rate hike keep precious metals defensive ahead of US inflation data.

Analyst View: Gold is near its lowest levels since March 24. As long as it stays below $4400, bears will have the upper hand. Prices may trade within a low range until tomorrow’s U.S. CPI release or new geopolitical developments.

Bias: Trading in a low range

20260609 Dow Jones Futures Keys Instruments

  • Resistance: 50991/51150
  • Support: 50518/50319

On Monday, the three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow falling for a second consecutive day. Despite positive developments in the Middle East, a mixed performance among bank stocks weighed on the market.

Analyst View: The Dow has fallen below its 10-day moving average (MA) after a two-day decline, indicating potential short-term downside. Watch for tests around 50400, where the 20-day MA is located.

Bias: Short-term bearish

20260609 NASDAQ 100 Keys Instruments

  • Resistance: 29925/30246
  • Support: 28892/28567

Most mega-cap tech stocks fell yesterday. However, chip stocks saw a bargain-hunting rebound following last Friday’s sharp sell-off. The semiconductor index surged over 5%, helping Nasdaq bounce back to close higher.

Analyst View: The NAS100 index opened higher yesterday but showed little movement, facing resistance at the 20-day MA. The price remains biased to the downside as the market awaits U.S. inflation data to guide the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions.

Bias: Short-term bearish

20260609 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Keys Instruments

  • Resistance: 64955/67606
  • Support: 60728/58042

Bitcoin struggled to maintain Sunday’s gains on Monday, pulling back as upward momentum faded. Ongoing net outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs pose a significant challenge for recovery.

Analyst View: Bitcoin reached a high of over $64,000 yesterday, with critical resistance around $65,600. Weak upside momentum suggests monitoring support levels at $60,728 and $58,042.

Bias: Short-term bearish

Enjoy trading! The content is for reference only. Please ensure that you understand the risk.

 

About the author

 

Martin Lam is ATFX Chief Analyst for Asia Pacific, with over 20 years of experience in global forex and investment markets. He holds a degree in Finance and Economics from Deakin University and has held senior roles at leading FX brokerage firms.

Recent News
Free Demo Account
Practice risk-free
Master the markets
Trade live when you’re ready!
Popular posts

ATFX

ATFX UK (AT Global Markets (UK) Ltd.) focuses on developing institutional business and professional investors and does not accept retail clients under its UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) license.

For professional client applications, please contact [email protected].

ATFX

Important Notice

We would like to inform you that, in order to ensure full compliance with the regulations of the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM), the opening of new accounts for individuals residing or domiciled in the Federative Republic of Brazil is currently unavailable.

This measure is necessary to complete the final stages of the technological and operational integration process with our local intermediary partner, Levycam CCTVM Ltda. (CNPJ 50.579.044/0001-96), in accordance with the guidelines set forth in CVM Guidance Opinion No. 33/2005.

As a result, it is not possible to proceed with your account opening request at this time. Once the regulatory and operational integration process is completed, the account opening flow will be enabled, and interested parties will be duly informed.

ATFX is not authorized by the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM) to offer intermediation or distribution services for securities issued abroad to investors residing in the Federative Republic of Brazil. Currently, ATFX does not operate nor actively offer intermediation services in Brazil. By accessing this website, investors declare that they are aware of the applicable legal restrictions and agree that they are operating outside the jurisdiction of the CVM. Investments abroad are not covered by the protection mechanisms existing in Brazil, such as the MRP and the FGC. With the objective of enabling future regularized operations, ATFX has entered into a contract for the provision of foreign intermediation services with the Brazilian brokerage firm Levycam CCTVM (CNPJ 50.579.044/0001-96), as provided for in CVM Guidance Opinion No. 33/2005. However, activities related to local intermediation are still in the pre-operational phase (technological and regulatory integration process). If you have any questions regarding the regulation of your trading accounts, please contact us.

ATFX

🌍 Welcome to ATFX!

To provide you with the best trading experience in Iraq, please visit our localized website:

There, you’ll find all products, services, and contact information tailored specifically for you. Thank you for choosing ATFX!

ATFX

Restrictions on Use

Products and Services on this website https://www.atfx.com/en-ae/ are not suitable
in your country. Such information and materials should not be regarded as or
constitute a distribution, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any investments.
Please visit https://www.atfx.com/en/ to proceed.

ATFX

使用限制

本网站的产品及服务不适合英国居民。网站内部的信息和素材不应被视为分销,要约,买入或卖出任何投资产品。请继续访问 https://www.atfx.com/en/

ATFX

Restrictions on Use

Please note, you may be accessing this page from outside Australia. Products and Services on https://www.atfx.com/en-au/ may not be suitable in your country. The information provided should not be considered as an offer, solicitation, or distribution for any investments.

Restrictions on Use

Products and Services on https://www.atfx.com/en-au/ are not suitable in your country. The information provided should not be considered as an offer, solicitation, or distribution for any investments.

Choose another region to see content specific to your location.

ATFX

Restrictions on Use

ATFX

Restrictions on Use

AT Global Markets (UK) Limited does not offer trading services to retail clients.
If you are a professional client, please visit https://www.atfxconnect.com/