差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美聯儲12月會議紀要維持鷹派,美股、原油、金價全線下跌

美聯儲公佈了12月份聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)貨幣政策會議的紀要文件,會議紀要大放鷹派信號。在公佈後,美股WTI原油金價全線下跌,其中納斯達克指數跌逾500點,創逾10個月最大單日跌幅。此次會議紀要究竟釋放了哪些重點?

 

目前,美國資產負債表規模已達到創紀錄的8.8萬億美元,市場普遍關心的是美聯儲何時開始縮減購債以及在加息和結束資產購債之間的時間間隔。

 

至於加息時間,美國掉期市場價格昨日顯示,美聯儲3月份加息的可能性為80%。可見市場對加息的預期亦提速。會議紀要出爐之後,由於美聯儲維持鷹派態度,美元和美債收益率隨之走高,10年期美債收益率一度升至1.7787%,為4月以來最高水平。這令金價承壓大跌,金價從1月5日的約1823美元/盎司跌至今日早盤的約1808美元/盎司,並且下跌趨勢還在持續,由於加息時間或提前的市場預期越來越強烈,長期來看,預計金價承壓的趨勢還會維持一段時間。

 

同時,也關注到美國勞動力市場非常緊張的情況,包括創紀錄的離職率和職位空缺率,以及工資增長的顯著回升。許多與會官員承認“美國經濟正朝著美聯儲的最大就業目標快速前進”。由此可見,官員們傾向於加息的態度更加堅定,他們普遍認為加息前的通脹指標已經達到。

 

市場普遍擔憂奧密克戎對美國經濟前景的影響,會議紀要亦對此作出了回應,不過股市方面此前已經消化新變種病毒影響。多名與會者表示,美國經濟前景的不確定性仍然很高,疫情,特別是奧密克戎,繼續對經濟構成下行風險、給通脹帶來上行壓力。

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