差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美联储12月会议纪要维持鹰派,美股、原油、金价全线下跌

美联储公布了12月份联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)货币政策会议的纪要文件,会议纪要大放鹰派信号。在公布后,美股、WTI原油、金价全线下跌,其中纳斯达克指数跌逾500点,创逾10个月最大单日跌幅。此次会议纪要究竟释放了哪些重点?

 

目前,美国资产负债表规模已达到创纪录的8.8万亿美元,市场普遍关心的是美联储何时开始缩减购债以及在加息和结束资产购债之间的时间间隔。

 

至于加息时间,美国掉期市场价格昨日显示,美联储3月份加息的可能性为80%。可见市场对加息的预期亦提速。会议纪要出炉之后,由于美联储维持鹰派态度,美元和美债收益率随之走高,10年期美债收益率一度升至1.7787%,为4月以来最高水平。这令金价承压大跌,金价从1月5日的约1823美元/盎司跌至今日早盘的约1808美元/盎司,并且下跌趋势还在持续,由于加息时间或提前的市场预期越来越强烈,长期来看,预计金价承压的趋势还会维持一段时间。

 

同时,也关注到美国劳动力市场非常紧张的情况,包括创纪录的离职率和职位空缺率,以及工资增长的显著回升。许多与会官员承认“美国经济正朝着美联储的最大就业目标快速前进”。由此可见,官员们倾向于加息的态度更加坚定,他们普遍认为加息前的通胀指标已经达到。

 

市场普遍担忧奥密克戎对美国经济前景的影响,会议纪要亦对此作出了回应,不过股市方面此前已经消化新变种病毒影响。多名与会者表示,美国经济前景的不确定性仍然很高,疫情,特别是奥密克戎,继续对经济构成下行风险、给通胀带来上行压力。

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