差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

標普500指數承壓,因聯準會降息希望消退。

SP 500 – Daily Chart

標準普爾500-日圖

標普500指數一個多月來首次跌破5000點,支撐位於2022年末的高點4820點。

聯準會主席鮑威爾表示,通膨「缺乏進一步進展」意味著央行可能不會在兩週後的下一次會議上降息,暗示將在更長時間內維持高利率。

「最近的數據顯然沒有給我們更大的信心,」鮑威爾上週說,他說通膨率將低於央行2%的目標。他補充說,“實現這種信心可能需要比預期更長的時間。”

伯南克表示:“目前,鑑於勞動力市場的強勁表現和迄今為止通膨方面的進展,讓限制性政策有更多時間發揮作用、讓數據和不斷變化的前景指引我們是合適的。”

自聯準會兩年前開始大舉升息以來,美國利率仍處於23年來的高點。然而,這場運動是由烏克蘭與俄羅斯的衝突引發的,投資者可能對伊朗捲入中東事務和油價穩步上漲感到擔憂。

鮑威爾說:“我們負責任的管理正在確保財政政策在通膨處於最高水平時減輕通膨壓力。”

美國經濟和就業市場依然強勁。同時,更高的抵押貸款利率使房地產市場陷入停滯,新建築投資導致現房銷售放緩。最新的零售銷售報告顯示,上個月消費者繼續消費,但通膨上升帶來了壓力。

華爾街預期聯準會不會在5月降息,但許多人仍預期第一次降息將在夏季到來。高盛、摩根大通和野村證券的分析師估計,7月將進行首次降息。然而,富國銀行、美國銀行、巴克萊銀行和德意志銀行的分析師預計,夏季過後的首次降息將最晚在12月到來。

“我的基本預期仍然是通膨將進一步下降,政策利率將穩定在當前水平,勞動力市場將保持強勁,勞動力需求和供應將繼續重新平衡,」聯準會副主席傑佛遜上週表示。

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