差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

原油價格週圖聚焦突破訊號的出現

近期中東緊張局勢升級嚴重影響了美國原油價格,導致其從長期低迷中走出。

USOIL– Daily Chart

USOIL -日圖

美國原油價格不僅突破了80美元附近的上行阻力位,也瞄準了90美元的關卡。 然而,考慮到目前的地緣政治背景,油價大幅上漲至100美元上方並非不可能,可能帶來重大風險。

伊朗襲擊以色列後,中東緊張局勢加劇是本週市場的主題。 這也將使聯準會有更多理由縮減放慢降息步伐的努力。 此前,油價飆升可能會擾亂聯準會對抗通膨的努力。

在以色列及其盟友擊落伊朗週六發射的飛彈和無人機後,投資者現在正在關注以色列總理本雅明·內塔尼亞胡和美國總統喬·拜登的聲明。

凱投宏觀的Neil Shearing表示:「全球經濟面臨的關鍵風險是,目前這種局面是否會升級為一場更廣泛的地區衝突,以及能源市場將如何應對。」「油價上漲將使已開發經濟體使 通膨回到目標水準的努力複雜化,但只有在能源價格上漲影響到核心通膨的情況下,才會對央行的決策產生實質影響。

國際能源總署預測,今年的石油需求將增加120萬桶/日,比先前的月度預測減少13萬桶/日。 該石油數據組織表示,在經歷了新冠疫情後的井噴後,中國的石油需求已恢復正常,而暖冬令需求則有所緩和。

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