差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在對中美貿易戰的擔憂中,黃金價格創下歷史新高

黃金價格週二飆升,創下歷史新高,因對美中貿易戰再起的擔憂推動了對避險資產的需求。

金價隔夜上漲,反映了川普總統將對加拿大和墨西哥徵收25%關稅推遲30天后美元的疲軟。然而,隨著川普對北京徵收10%的關稅於週二生效。作為報復,中國對部分商品徵收關稅,加強對某些金屬的出口管制,將美國公司列入不可靠實體名單,並對Google(NASDAQ: GOOGL)發起反壟斷調查。

現貨黃金價格上漲1%,至每盎司2,842.77美元,此前觸及每盎司2,845.51美元的高峰。 3月黃金期貨下跌0.6%,至每盎司2,8474.04美元。

避險需求推高金價

川普關稅政策可能引發全球貿易戰的擔憂推動了金價的上漲。雖然他推遲對加拿大和墨西哥徵收關稅暫時緩解了壓力,但中國仍是美國的主要貿易夥伴。鑑於中國在全球貿易中的主導地位,額外的關稅可能會產生廣泛的經濟後果。

關稅緊張或抑制金價上漲

中國的報復措施可能會進一步升級,川普先前曾警告不要採取反制措施。

儘管黃金具有避險吸引力,但由於美國通膨和利率的潛在變化,其長期前景仍不明朗。分析師警告稱,最終由美國進口商支付的貿易關稅可能會推高通膨,並支持更高的利率。在這種前景的推動下,美元飆升至兩年來的高點。

摩根士丹利 (NYSE: MS) 的經濟學家現在預計2025年只有一次降息,低於先前預期的兩次。

「關稅的不確定性提高了聯準會降息的門檻。我們現在預計6月只會降息一次,」摩根士丹利的Michael Gapen及其團隊表示。

貴金屬和工業金屬表現

鉑金期貨上漲0.8%,至每盎司1,010.95美元,白銀期貨上漲1.2%,至每盎司32.90美元。

倫敦金屬交易所銅期貨上漲0.5%,至每噸9178.00美元,其中4月銅期貨上漲1%,至每磅4.3633美元。

作為全球最大的銅進口國,交易員們正在等待中國的下一步行動,希望中國的經濟刺激措施能抵銷美國的貿易關稅。

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