差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

聯準會和歐洲央行分化正在形成,歐元兌美元守住陣地

歐元兌美元週二維持在1.1800上方,受助於對聯準會和歐洲央行貨幣政策分化的預期升溫。

EURUSD Chart

歐元兌美元-圖表

聯準會主席鮑威爾的最新言論強化了聯準會的鴿派立場,他將當前政策描述為“適度限制”,同時承認就業下行風險上升。根據Prime Market Terminal的數據,市場預計10月會議降息25個基點的可能性為91%。

與此同時,歐洲央行行長拉加德最近斷言“反通膨過程已經結束”,這表明歐洲央行不願進一步放鬆貨幣政策,為歐元走強創造了有利的背景。

經濟逆風加劇

採購經理人指數預覽值顯示兩國經濟同步放緩。美國製造業PMI從53.0降至52.0,服務業PMI從54.5降至53.9。歐元區也表現出類似的疲軟,製造業指數從50.7降至49.5,但服務業指數小幅上升至51.4。

在本周美國GDP公佈前,經濟活動數據惡化引發擔憂,並強化了聯準會寬鬆政策的理由。

技術面概述

歐元兌美元的看漲吞噬模式將該貨幣對推高至1.1800上方,不過勢頭依然低迷。關鍵阻力位位於1.1850,焦點在年度高點1.1918。支撐位出現在1.1750,隨後是1.1700和關鍵的1.1560-1.1574區域。

經濟成長放緩和政策分歧的交叉作用使得歐元/美元在更明確的方向性催化劑出現之前保持區間波動。

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