差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

联储无明确加息路线 美汇曾低见97.72

上周联储局议息最终揭开四年首次加息的序幕,结果符合市场预期外也是局方一直透露的加息时间起点。鲍威尔在会后表示,现时局方没有明确的加息路线图,要视乎经济步伐,有需要时可继续收紧政策,为未来货币政策提供弹性。

 

内容上鲍威尔没有清楚说明加息时间表和目标上限,投资者感到失望,美元从99水平回落至98水平更曾经低见97.72。联储局没有提供强烈收紧货币政策信号,投资者只好观望下一次通胀和经济数据表现,从中寻找下一次议息取向引领美元。本周迎来美国首领失业金人数,3月PMI和消费者情绪指数,值得关注。

 

英镑延伸目标看1.3267

美元兑日圆连续两周上升,终突破119大关创五年半高位。主要受美元和日圆息差拉濶和日本央行保持超宽货币政策有关,从基本面看,日本经济增长和通胀落后于欧美,而且日本变种病毒持续高企,阻碍经济增长,央行续保留超宽松货币政策支撑经济发展,间接左右日圆上升空间。若乌俄关系变得更加激烈,俄国债务违约风险上升令环球股市暴跌,资金或可能流向日圆避险外,否则日圆难以期望大涨空间。技术上,美元兑日圆守住4小时图的10和20线118.82及118.62,将上望120.15或120.63。相反,若突破支持或下探10日线约117.27。

英镑方面,市场关注周三公布的二月CPl和PPl。同日当晚英国央行行长就周年预算发表讲话,内容会涉及货币政策取向,或会影响英镑汇率。技术上,英镑兑美元突破10日线1.3096后重上一周高位1.3193。若英镑延伸升势,下一个目标看20日线1.3267。假如乌俄和谈取得建设性成果,缓和避险情绪,欧洲货币有望冲高,英镑兑美元或上试10和20周线1.3400附近。

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