差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美CPI创40年高位 预期加息更快来临

美国1月CPI年率报7.3%,创逾40年高位。投资市场认为,联储局加息步伐和幅度将较预期加快,料下月联储局议息可能将原先预期加息0.25%调升至0.5%,并且可能宣布加快缩减买债计划及开始缩减负债表,美元扭转前一星期疲弱表现重返96水平。

 

PPI倘高企将支撑美元

现时美国通胀高企问题持续,关注明日美国1月PPI结果,留意出厂价格会否影响未来通胀高企问题持续。市场估计美国1月PPl月率由前值0.2%升至0.4%,焦点年率数据预期由上月9.7%回落至8.9%。若PPI数据显示仍然高企,有机会触动联储局加快收紧货币政策的决心,并可能大担提高加息幅度和步伐。这种情景下,新兴市场上的资金有机会加快流向美元,为美元提供更强支撑和上升空间。

 

另一项短期影响美元走势的重要因素之一,相信是乌俄局势变化。周末前美军情报指,俄军在乌克兰边境已经较前一星期增强兵力并料军事行动将最快在星期三升级入侵乌克兰。据该军事情报,美军已调派兵力支援乌军前线,乌国邻近国家波兰亦增派兵力慎防美乌俄三军动武。地缘政治紧张升级,部分资金流向美元避险,支持美元上升。

 

欧洲央行无意加息对付通胀

涉及欧洲地缘政治局势紧张,欧洲货币或会受到影响。加上欧洲央行表示,欧罗区通胀高企问题持续,但央行无意取消资产买债计划(APP)和加息。这些明确言论使欧罗强势较前星期改变,欧罗兑美元由高见1.1490后被打击,重返1.13水平。

 

预期本星期地缘政治紧张气氛持续,一旦战事升级发动攻击,资金随即加快流入美元避险,欧洲货币货币将会直接承压。欧罗兑美元有机会指向1.12或1.11水平。技术上,1.1269及1.1225为首支持范围,下一步将看1.1185或1.1138。

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