差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由于杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。 62.96%的零售投资者帐户在跟这个供应商交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。
62.96%的零售投资者帐户在跟这个供应商交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。
差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由于杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。 62.96%的零售投资者帐户在跟这个供应商交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。
75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.12% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs / Spread betting work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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多国央行议息储局势缩买债

12月超级议息周正式来临,四大央行将于周四密集宣布议息结果,周五则是日本央行宣布。金融市场高度重视各央行明年货币政策展望,指引环球投资市场方向及部署明年策略。其中联储局议息结果和新闻发布会将于周四率先出炉。由于美国11月CPI年率飙至近39年最高,意味联储局可能随时宣布将加快缩减买债规模,加息时间亦可能估计推前。

联储局决议前,市场亦关心美国11月零售销售和PPI结果,两项数据亦会给予重要参考,引导加息步伐美元或得到支撑。技术上,美汇指数现徘徊于96附近,若数据和货币政策利好,美汇有望测试96.70 或97。相反美汇回撤,先参考95.63支撑位,扩大回撤幅度将看95.00。

周四亦关注瑞士,英国及欧洲央行宣布议息结果。市场一直关注英国何时加息,但受变种病毒出现,英国政府宣布提高防疫措施,可能限制经济增长发展。若英国央行议息会再一次宣布维持利率和量宽规模不变,将可能给英镑带来一些下行风险。英镑兑美元于日图上,1.33阻力依然强劲,可能限制升幅。技术上若跌破近期1.3160低位,有可能扩大跌幅至1.30范围。

另一市场焦点是欧洲央行议息,市场期望央行宣布提早结束“疫情紧急购买计划”(PEPP)和扩大“资产购买计划”(APP),而且市场亦关心欧洲央行对通胀问题的展望,指引央行加息步伐。

但欧洲央行一直表示经济复苏仍然脆弱,因变病毒在欧洲蔓延,再次限制经济活动就是例证之一。所以市场目光放在欧洲央行在这会议中期待宣布扩大APP的确实数字或持续时间,若仅限于提出扩大资产购买规模的含糊承诺,让投资者失去欧洲收紧货币政策的耐性,可能带来欧罗下行压力,有机会再考验近期低位1.1230支撑。

Last Updated: 13/12/2021

This market commentary and analysis has been prepared for ATFX by a third party for general information purposes only. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell as it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives, and should therefore not be interpreted as financial, investment or other advice, or relied upon as such. You should therefore seek independent advice before making any investment decisions. This information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. We aim to establish and maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. The market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however we make no representation or warranty of its accuracy or completeness, and accept no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients. Reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, is not permitted.


 

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