关键数据公布在即,英镑兑美元存在明确的支撑

在英国就业数据和美国CPI通胀数据公布之前,英镑兑美元汇率在关键技术水平上方徘徊。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart
英镑兑美元-日线图

英镑兑美元汇率已攀升至1.3433阻力位上方,该阻力位标志着2024年10月的高点。这将是对进一步上行和数据发布的支持。

英国就业数据将于香港时间周二下午2点公布,分析师预计上月新增11.2万个就业岗位的数据将有所提升。然而,失业率预计将从4.5%上升至4.6%。

英国就业市场最近面临压力,就业机会减少。英国就业市场连续第二个月出现同比增长,更多公司发布季节性招聘广告。但是,最近的数据显示,月平均工资增长有所放缓。

根据其最新报告,4月份的职位空缺与去年同期相比上升了1.02%。然而,与3月份相比,空置率略有下降,从0.95%降至862,876。

英国国家统计局也表示,截至2025年3月的三个月,平均固定收入(不包括奖金)的年增长率为5.6%。这一数字低于前一个月的5.9%,也是去年11月以来的最低水平。

由于最近对美元的负面情绪,英镑兑美元汇率有所上升,但涨势可能会失去动力。

未来一周,美国将于周三晚些时候发布CPI数据,这对该货币对来说可能是一个关键时刻,因为一周后美联储将召开会议决定利率。疲软的CPI数据可能会让交易员预期美国降息,但在特朗普最近的言论之后,美联储主席鲍威尔可能会保持立场。这将增加总统撤换美联储主席的风险,这不是一个容易的过程。

正在伦敦进行的贸易谈判也可能影响英镑兑美元,因为中美之间的一项强有力的协议可能会刺激一些美元买盘。

最近的新闻
英镑兑美元在霍尔木兹海峡石油危机和英国央行降息预期骤降的背景下重回1.3400关口

周一,英镑兑美元强势反弹,重返1.3400上方,上涨0.3%至1.3431,交易员在200日均线附近进行震荡盘整。早盘一度跌至1.3280,此次反弹反映出市场对英国央行降息的预期减弱,而中东紧张局势升级加剧了能源通胀担忧。尽管霍尔木兹海峡危机引发了更广泛的避险情绪,英镑兑美元的复苏仍凸显了其韧性。 事件详情

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