关键数据公布在即,英镑兑美元存在明确的支撑

在英国就业数据和美国CPI通胀数据公布之前,英镑兑美元汇率在关键技术水平上方徘徊。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart
英镑兑美元-日线图

英镑兑美元汇率已攀升至1.3433阻力位上方,该阻力位标志着2024年10月的高点。这将是对进一步上行和数据发布的支持。

英国就业数据将于香港时间周二下午2点公布,分析师预计上月新增11.2万个就业岗位的数据将有所提升。然而,失业率预计将从4.5%上升至4.6%。

英国就业市场最近面临压力,就业机会减少。英国就业市场连续第二个月出现同比增长,更多公司发布季节性招聘广告。但是,最近的数据显示,月平均工资增长有所放缓。

根据其最新报告,4月份的职位空缺与去年同期相比上升了1.02%。然而,与3月份相比,空置率略有下降,从0.95%降至862,876。

英国国家统计局也表示,截至2025年3月的三个月,平均固定收入(不包括奖金)的年增长率为5.6%。这一数字低于前一个月的5.9%,也是去年11月以来的最低水平。

由于最近对美元的负面情绪,英镑兑美元汇率有所上升,但涨势可能会失去动力。

未来一周,美国将于周三晚些时候发布CPI数据,这对该货币对来说可能是一个关键时刻,因为一周后美联储将召开会议决定利率。疲软的CPI数据可能会让交易员预期美国降息,但在特朗普最近的言论之后,美联储主席鲍威尔可能会保持立场。这将增加总统撤换美联储主席的风险,这不是一个容易的过程。

正在伦敦进行的贸易谈判也可能影响英镑兑美元,因为中美之间的一项强有力的协议可能会刺激一些美元买盘。

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