法国股市大跌,拖累欧洲股市震荡

法国的选举震动了该国的股市,并在欧洲市场引发了涟漪。

CAC-40 - Daily Chart

CAC 40指数日图

法国主要股指CAC-40指数已从5月份的高点下跌了10%。周五的看跌收盘可能会进一步跌至7,278的支撑位。

欧洲市场保持警惕,法国债券被卖给其他欧洲国家。法国财政部长勒梅尔表示,如果勒庞领导的政党在未来几周赢得选举,欧元区第二大经济体将面临金融危机的风险。

在欧洲选举投票失利后,法国总统马克龙要求提前举行选举,但看起来可能会败选。

勒庞领导的政党希望降低退休年龄、降低能源价格、增加公共支出,并奉行“法国优先”的经济政策。上周,法国银行遭受重创,三家最重要的银行各损失约15%,这是自2023年3月美国地区银行危机以来的最大跌幅。

针对银行的保险价格正在上涨,这种担忧波及整个意大利,意大利是该地区债务负担最重的国家之一。银行股也遭到抛售。

法国的债务与GDP之比超过100%,其赤字在5%左右,这导致上个月标准普尔评级机构下调了法国的信用评级。至少自2005年以来,法国政府10年期国债的收益率首次超过葡萄牙政府。

由于能源和食品价格上涨,马克龙也面临着抗议的压力。

“我们正处于我国历史上一个非常严重的时刻。在意大利举行的七国集团(G7)会议上,法国总统表示:“我们面临着战争和前所未有的经济挑战等重大问题。”

投资者将在未来几周密切关注法国股市和债市,因担心危机蔓延。

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