黄金价格稳定在历史高点附近

黄金价格在历史高点下方的一个小范围内交易,并将寻求突破上行或下行。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

黄金-日线图

黄金的价格在周二找到了一个基础,可能会朝着2950美元的历史高点移动。下行支撑位在2825美元。

金价延续了自2月份以来的上涨趋势,在月底回落之前创下了多个新高。随着全球风险随着关税和战争威胁而增加,这一举措在主要货币中得到了呼应。

根据世界黄金协会的黄金回报归因模型,本月美元疲软是黄金表现优异的主要驱动因素之一。地缘政治风险的增加和利率的下降增加了收益。

很大一部分购买来自黄金ETF活动,该活动净流入94亿美元(100吨),是自2022年3月以来最强劲的一个月。

瑞穗的Robert Yawger表示,“金价在混乱之中一直在盘整,距离历史高点很近。”“离敲响钟声还有一天的时间。”

如果金价真的创出新高,随着投资者将资金从遭受重创的科技股转向黄金,金价可能会进一步走高。

另一个推动黄金上涨的因素是,美国战略黄金储备基地诺克斯堡的黄金不见了。特朗普表示,他将亲自调查这一问题,但投资者正在考虑是否需要进一步从美国购买黄金。

这一理论得到了美国进口激增的支持,美国1月份进口了创纪录的3295亿美元的商品,比上个月多了360亿美元。美国商务部的数据显示,包括金条在内的成品金属形状占月度进口增长的近60%。

实物黄金的趋势可能会继续,如果下周左右创出新高,ETF的资金流动也将继续。

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在周三早盘交易中,白银价格飙升至每盎司60美元以上的空前高点,超过了黄金的涨幅,原因是投资者押注白银供应趋紧和估值下降。对美联储将在当天晚些时候降息的预期,提振了股市的上涨。 XAGUSD

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