黄金价格稳定在历史高点附近

黄金价格在历史高点下方的一个小范围内交易,并将寻求突破上行或下行。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

黄金-日线图

黄金的价格在周二找到了一个基础,可能会朝着2950美元的历史高点移动。下行支撑位在2825美元。

金价延续了自2月份以来的上涨趋势,在月底回落之前创下了多个新高。随着全球风险随着关税和战争威胁而增加,这一举措在主要货币中得到了呼应。

根据世界黄金协会的黄金回报归因模型,本月美元疲软是黄金表现优异的主要驱动因素之一。地缘政治风险的增加和利率的下降增加了收益。

很大一部分购买来自黄金ETF活动,该活动净流入94亿美元(100吨),是自2022年3月以来最强劲的一个月。

瑞穗的Robert Yawger表示,“金价在混乱之中一直在盘整,距离历史高点很近。”“离敲响钟声还有一天的时间。”

如果金价真的创出新高,随着投资者将资金从遭受重创的科技股转向黄金,金价可能会进一步走高。

另一个推动黄金上涨的因素是,美国战略黄金储备基地诺克斯堡的黄金不见了。特朗普表示,他将亲自调查这一问题,但投资者正在考虑是否需要进一步从美国购买黄金。

这一理论得到了美国进口激增的支持,美国1月份进口了创纪录的3295亿美元的商品,比上个月多了360亿美元。美国商务部的数据显示,包括金条在内的成品金属形状占月度进口增长的近60%。

实物黄金的趋势可能会继续,如果下周左右创出新高,ETF的资金流动也将继续。

最近的新闻
黄金反弹至4100美元上方,因投资者在美国CPI公布前调整仓位

周四金价回升至4100美元上方,XAUUSD现货黄金报4145美元,上涨1.1%,因投资者在周五关键的美国通胀报告出炉前重新调整头寸。此前,中国股市连续两天大幅下跌,周二出现五年来最大单日跌幅。 金价反弹之际,地缘政治紧张局势再起,美国前总统特朗普对中国的贸易言论略有软化,这些因素重振了对传统避险货币的需求。特朗普政府宣布对俄罗斯石油巨头卢克石油公司和俄罗斯石油公司实施新的制裁,以应对莫斯科在乌克兰的战争,这增强了黄金的吸引力。

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