欧元兑美元周三聚焦经济增长和通胀数据

随着周三经济数据的发布,欧元兑美元汇率应该会有所活跃。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

欧元美元-日图

欧元兑美元正在寻求突破1.0816阻力位,下一个目标位是1.0884。如果价格反转走低,支撑位将再次看向1.0725。

欧元兑美元周三公布了欧洲经济增长数据。香港时间下午5点公布的数据是第二次估计,但在未来几天仍将对该货币对的价格产生影响。欧元区第二季度的数据预计为-0.1%。

欧洲央行有投票权的成员克拉斯•诺特说,6月份是央行首次降息的好时机。

大数据是美国最新的通胀数据,将于香港时间晚上8点30分发布,但它将在本周剩余时间里推动金价上涨。分析师预计通胀率将降至3.4%。更高的数据将不利于股市和汇市。通胀放缓将增强9月份降息的预期。

零售额也将公布,预计本月的增幅将从0.7%降至0.4%。

周二公布的商业通胀数据显示,生产者价格指数高于预期。最新数据为0.5%,高于0.3%,这是美国顽固通胀的另一个迹象。该数据是自2023年4月以来的最高同比数据,也是连续第四个月高于预期。

“CPI往往对市场有更大的短期影响,所以24小时后的情况可能会大不相同。但如果CPI也高于预期,利率前景可能会受到质疑,”E-Trade的克里斯•拉金表示。

“这份报告强调了美联储的担忧,即反通胀的道路已经停滞,需要在更长时间内采取更高的政策立场,以对抗看似根深蒂固的通胀。”盘旋在市场上空的一个压倒一切的问题——以及潜在的困境——是,在通胀上升的同时,更广泛的经济前景是否正在走软,这是否会使美联储的工作变得越来越困难,”LPL Financial分析师表示。

周三即将发布的大数据是通胀数据,这将决定欧元兑美元未来一周的走。

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