中国股市寻求来自去年10至11月低点的支撑

中国CN50指数正在测试2025年底附近的买盘支撑位。

CHINA 50 – Daily Chart

CN50指数 — 日线图

CN50指数再次测试11月低点的支撑位,需要买盘介入以避免进一步下跌。

本周,中国证券交易所宣布了新的措施,以便利“优质”上市公司为创新或增长进行再融资。声明称,此举是中国改革资本市场、促进创新的最新举措,并将有助于“培育世界一流企业”。

股价低于首次公开募股价格的上市公司将有机会通过私募配售或可转换债券筹集资金。

有关实体资产代币化的进一步立法也提振了相关股票。中国表示,将证券和房地产等传统资产转换为数字代币的RWA业务将不会在中国大陆交易。但监管机构将审查境外发行的、由境内资产支持的代币。

强劲的中国经济逆势而上,无视美国关税的影响,推动中国股市在1月中旬创下2026年新高。一些乐观的经济数据降低了此前市场对北京方面进一步出台货币和财政政策支持的预期,这也抑制了对中国股市的需求。然而,近期的一些消息表明,未来可能还会出台更多刺激措施。

本周,中国商务部与中国汽车制造商举行了一次论坛,旨在提振国内需求。据报道,商务部将优化汽车以旧换新政策,包括现有政策和新政策。这些措施旨在提振汽车需求,而汽车市场对于实现中国国内消费目标至关重要。

“过去五年,中国新能源汽车销量从2020年的130万辆增长到2025年的1650万辆,年复合增长率高达66%,这在现代汽车工业史上是前所未有的……如此高速的增长势头难以持续,必然会经历一段调整或整合期,尤其是在补贴到期、消费者成本上升的情况下,”Stansberry Research的Brian Tycango写道。

随着全球人工智能市场情绪降温,近期表现疲软的新能源汽车股价可能会受到进一步的提振,进一步的以旧换新或刺激措施或许能够提振股价。

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强劲的美国就业数据提振对利率长期维持高位的预期,金价跌至每盎司4450美元附近

周三,受强于预期的美国就业报告的影响,金价跌至每盎司4450美元附近。该报告强化了市场对美联储将维持高利率更长时间的预期,削弱了这种无收益贵金属的吸引力。 现货黄金下跌0.79%,至每盎司4451.60美元左右,从近期4500美元以上的高位回落。交易员减少了对美联储提前降息的押注。此次下跌是在美国劳动力市场持续展现韧性之后发生的,最新的就业数据超出预期,降低了政策制定者近期放松货币政策的压力。

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美元走强,此前美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示,4月份职位空缺激增至761.8万个,创下2024年6月以来的最高水平,远高于分析师此前预测的680万个。 美元指数(DXY)衡量美元兑六种主要货币的汇率,在数据公布后一度攀升至99.20附近。4月份职位空缺较3月份修正后的688.7万个增加了73.1万个,创下近两年来最大的月度增幅。

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受美伊停火协议影响,比特币跌至六周低点

周四,比特币价格跌破73,000美元,触及逾六周以来的最低水平。据交易员和市场数据显示,美国对伊朗再次发动军事打击,加剧了地缘政治的不确定性,并给全球风险资产带来压力。 市值最大的加密货币比特币在早盘交易中下跌约4%,一度跌至72,700美元附近,延续了本周早些时候的跌势。以太坊和其他主要代币也出现下跌。

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