差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

儘管通脹又一輪上升,英鎊/美元 依然表現疲軟

儘管通脹數據再次上升,但周三英鎊/美元匯率漲跌互現。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart

英鎊/美元 – 日線圖

英鎊/美元匯率停滯在 1.2440 的關鍵阻力位。它在去年12 月和 今年1 月都在在這個位置突破失敗,這個位置是重大突破或反轉的關鍵水平。

隨著英國經濟陷入困境,反轉的可能性可能會更受到青睞。

英國財政部長對通脹再次超過10%做出了反應 — 這表明英格蘭銀行的積極加息並沒有奏效。

“當通貨膨脹率超過 10% 時,經濟就會不穩定。 這不是一個好狀態,如果你不理會它,最終將會是危險的,”傑里米亨特在一次活動中說。他補充說,勞動力市場緊張是近期工資上漲的一個“重要”因素。

Forbes Advisor 的分析師表示:“通漲仍然保持在 兩位數的10.1% — 這令人非常沮喪,尤其是考慮到人們普遍預期它可能會降至 10% 以下。 任何好消息,例如加油站成本下降,都會因食品價格飆升而黯然失色,這裡的通貨膨脹率達到驚人的 20%。,食品價格漲幅為 19.2%,前一個月為 18.2%,這是 45 年來食品價格的最大年度漲幅。

英鎊兌美元預測

倫敦市場分析師現在預計英國利率可能在年底前達到 5%。分析師預計本月通脹率將降至 9.8%,但實際為 10.1%。頑固的通貨膨脹使英國成為七國集團中增長最差的經濟體。

最新數據幾乎確定英國央行在下個月的會議上將基準利率從 4.25% 上調至 4.5%。在此之後,金融市場正在提前定價之後可能會再次加息50個基點的預期。

本周美元反彈,英鎊可能因經濟壓力而下跌。美國的通脹已經放緩,但交易員不打算在這一水平上進一步押注英鎊。

交易者可以在 1.244 的位置尋找突破失敗的機會,並爭取英鎊的回調。

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