差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

英鎊兌日圓期待零售銷售數據帶來上漲

隨著週五英國零售銷售數據的公佈,英鎊兌日圓匯率正尋求向阻力位移動。

GBPJPY – Daily Chart
英鎊兌日圓-日線圖

英鎊兌日圓的阻力位在194.71,該水準在1月和4月一直是該貨幣對的障礙。如果這次測試失敗,英鎊可能會出現回檔。

英國零售銷售數據將於香港時間週五下午2點公佈,經濟學家預計月將下降0.4%至0.2%。然而,年度數據預計將從2.6%成長到4.5%。

英鎊兌美元匯率接近2022年以來的最高水平,通膨升溫以及英國與歐洲和美國關係的改善繼續支撐英鎊。

荷蘭國際集團外匯策略師Francesco Pesole表示,“貿易協議總體上對英鎊來說是個好消息。”“我們仍然認為英鎊處於相當不錯的位置。”

最新的通膨數據也可能阻止英國央行未來的降息,並支撐英鎊。

英國央行首席經濟學家休•皮爾本週表示,鑑於薪資對通膨的壓力依然強勁,季度降息步伐「過快」。

「英國央行內部出現了一些不同意見,」 ING的Pesole補充道。

5月8日,該國央行在三方投票中將利率下調了25個基點至4.25%,兩名成員贊成更大幅度的降息,而包括皮爾在內的兩名成員認為維持利率不變是最好的選擇。近期的正面情緒應該會繼續提振英鎊的前景。

同時,由於貿易政策的不確定性,日本政府週四下調了對全球經濟的評估。在5月的月度經濟報告中,政府近三年來首次下調了對美國經濟的預期,並表示美國經濟擴張正在放緩。

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