差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌英鎊匯率因經濟數據重獲關注

歐元兌英鎊匯率將聚焦週二英國就業數據的影響,隨後是德國和歐洲PMI數據。

EURGBP – 4H Chart

歐元兌英鎊- 4H圖表

歐元兌英鎊已從支撐位0.8721反彈,並回到支撐位0.8756上方。現在,這是股市能否持續上漲的關鍵。

在香港時間下午2點發布就業數據之前,英國就業市場再次成為焦點,分析師預計上一季將減少2.2萬個就業機會。失業率預計將從5.0%升至5.1%。

英國國家統計局的數據顯示,這是自2020年12月至2021年2月以來的最高,該機構提高了對12月降息的預期。畢馬威英國經濟學家耶爾•塞爾芬(Yael Selfin)表示,公共部門薪酬增長正“接近峰值”,由於政府預算壓力,預計去年以來的大幅加薪不會持續下去。

香港時間下午3時30分,繼續提供HCOB服務及德國製造業數據。經濟學家預計製造業指數將從48.2升至48.5。但是,服務業的指數將從53.1下降到52.8。

30分鐘後,歐元區公佈了同樣的數據,製造業指數預計將從49.6升至49.9。服務業指數預計將從53.6上升至53.9。

分析師預計歐洲央行不會在12月19日的會議上下調2%的基準利率,也不會在2027年之前下調。明年降息的幾率已從30%上升到60%,增加了近期對歐元的支持。

相較之下,英國央行打算將基準利率從4%降至3.75%,但英國政策制定者之間的分歧比美國更為明顯。美國銀行預計,該行投票委員會的投票結果將是5:4。在過去7個月中,有6個月的經濟收縮增加了貨幣政策放鬆的可能性。就鷹派觀點而言,該國是七國集團中通貨膨脹率最高的國家。

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