差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美元连跌两周 聚焦非农就业

上周美元指数维持震荡下行趋势,联储局纪要指引有限,加上近期美国数据表明经济下行压力增加。 联储局有官员指出加息步伐应该审慎不宜过急,观察因加息步伐过快所导致经济衰退。 言论引起市场对九月份联储局再加息预期降温,部分资金流出美元,最终美元连跌两周。

留意储局官员讲话

本周市场聚焦在美国就业数据上,也是联储局6月份加息前最后一份非农就业数据指引,考虑近期部分美国关键经济数据放缓,或影响就业需求,如果非农报告表明就业增长放缓至40万以下甚至更低,会让市场进一步忧虑经济前景,美元有机会进一步指向100.50。 美国就业数据公布前,留意周三晚联储局其中两名主要官员讲话,指引美元。

欧央行进一步展示鹰派立场,预示提早结束负利率政策。 行长拉加德暗示欧洲央行存款利率将至少上调50个基点,并将于七月及九月时候加息达至该水平,较原先预期推前一季,吸引资金流入欧罗。

本周欧罗公布5月CPI报告指向加息前景,关注该数据对欧罗支撑,留意1.0823重要阻力。

欧罗汇价上升带动欧洲其他货币,瑞士法郎由两年半低位反弹,若欧罗升势持续,美元兑瑞士法郎或下试0.9420支撑。

英镑同样反弹,不止美元下跌也有英央行推出舒缓通胀压力措施助刺激经济,另加息预期升温提振英镑。 若英镑兑美元持续上升,将上望1.28或1.30水平。

油价上升支持加元

加拿大央行周三宣读议息结果,市场预期加息25个基点,市场正在预测未来加息可能。 上周美元走弱和国际油价升至两个月高位,支撑加元。 周四OPEC会议讨论原油供应,估计维持其增产协议水平或助支撑国际油价,这可望支持加元上升。 技术上美元兑加元若跌破五月初低点,将打开1.27关口下方的支撑或下探1.25水平。

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要点 * 美股周一假期后复市造好,得益于科技股的乐观带动,其中道指创即市及收市历史新高。不过黄金则在4200美元遇阻而止步连涨,原油价格维持低位窄幅区间的承压。 * 今日关注重点:德国5月工业产出是欧元区经济的风向标,此前德国制造业PMI持续处于荣枯线下方,工业产出数据若再度萎缩,将进一步确认欧元区

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