差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元連跌兩周 聚焦非農就業

上周美元指數維持震蕩下行趨勢,聯儲局紀要指引有限,加上近期美國數據表明經濟下行壓力增加。聯儲局有官員指出加息步伐應該審慎不宜過急,觀察因加息步伐過快所導致經濟衰退。言論引起市場對九月份聯儲局再加息預期降溫,部分資金流出美元,最終美元連跌兩周。

留意儲局官員講話

本周市場聚焦在美國就業數據上,也是聯儲局6月份加息前最後一份非農就業數據指引,考慮近期部分美國關鍵經濟數據放緩,或影響就業需求,如果非農報告表明就業增長放緩至40萬以下甚至更低,會讓市場進一步憂慮經濟前景,美元有機會進一步指向100.50。美國就業數據公布前,留意周三晚聯儲局其中兩名主要官員講話,指引美元。

歐央行進一步展示鷹派立場,預示提早結束負利率政策。行長拉加德暗示歐洲央行存款利率將至少上調50個基點,並將於七月及九月時候加息達至該水平,較原先預期推前一季,吸引資金流入歐羅。

本周歐羅公佈5月CPI報告指向加息前景,關注該數據對歐羅支撐,留意1.0823重要阻力。

歐羅匯價上升帶動歐洲其他貨幣,瑞士法郎由兩年半低位反彈,若歐羅升勢持續,美元兌瑞士法郎或下試0.9420支撐。

英鎊同樣反彈,不止美元下跌也有英央行推出舒緩通脹壓力措施助刺激經濟,另加息預期升溫提振英鎊。若英鎊兌美元持續上升,將上望1.28或1.30水平。

油價上升支持加元

加拿大央行周三宣讀議息結果,市場預期加息25個基點,市場正在預測未來加息可能。上周美元走弱和國際油價升至兩個月高位,支撐加元。周四OPEC會議討論原油供應,估計維持其增產協議水平或助支撐國際油價,這可望支持加元上升。技術上美元兌加元若跌破五月初低點,將打開1.27關口下方的支撐或下探1.25水平。

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