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今天发布的CPI将如何影响大宗商品和加密货币?

美元收益率更高

本周,美元对市场上其他货币施加了很大的压力。今日将公布的消费者价格指数(CPI)结果的不确定性更是如此,使得投资者无法对其他货币对做出重大决定。本周美元指数大幅上涨,涨幅1.2%,在今天的亚洲交易时段美元指数达到103.5,这无疑是过去两个月来美元的最大涨幅。

分析师认为,如果今天纽约时段公布CPI报告,这可能只是美元主导地位新阶段的开始。如果跌破目标,将迫使美联储在下周美联储会议期间采取更强硬的立场,进一步加息。本周,许多与美元挂钩的货币都被推回到了之前的低点。

例如,欧元兑美元昨天重新测试了1.06100的历史新低。英镑兑美元也是如此,在今天的亚洲交易期内,英镑兑美元下跌至1.24790。在过去的两天里,黄金和白银在市场上波动,黄金在1840美元以上徘徊,而白银在21.640美元附近。股票和加密货币市场也出现了下跌,因为面对当前的不确定性,投资者一直渴望安全引导他们的资本。

了解CPI及其对市场的影响

消费者价格指数(CPI)衡量的是提供给消费者的商品和服务价格的变化。劳工统计局的月度数据有助于确定总体通胀率。

这份报告的结果意义重大,因为更高的数据表明通胀并未得到遏制。

因此,该数据带来的任何进一步加息都将推动美联储在下周美联储会议期间更积极地加息。这一数据此前为0.3%,而预测值为0.7%。若该指数上升,则意味着在美联储下次会议之前,美元暂时看跌,人们预计他们会提高利率以使美元再次站稳脚跟。

除此之外还有核心CPI。

核心CPI衡量的是消费品和服务价格的变化,不包括食品和能源。之后的数据受到了更多的关注,因为它构成了CPI报告中更重要的部分,是决定通胀上升的主要依据。对这一数据的预测是0.5%,而之前的数据是0.6%。

CPI数据会对大宗商品和加密货币价格产生什么影响?

正如预期的那样,今天CPI数据的结果将对市场产生巨大的波动。这一数据的较高读数表明,通胀仍在上升,而非下降。这将推动投资者回到风险模式,投资加密货币和股票。不断走弱的美元将有利于黄金和白银这两种主要大宗商品。

相反,数据是否低于预期,表明此前的加息已经逐步降低了通胀?其影响是,美元将走强,并在其他货币对(包括加密货币和大宗商品)将受压。

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