差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

面对不确定性,英国央行维持利率不变

由于全球风险,英国央行维持利率不变后,零售销售数据即将公布。

EURGBP - Daily Chart
欧元兑英镑-日走势图

欧元兑英镑在最近欧元反弹后暂停,如果英国零售销售回升,汇价可能会再次下跌。

英国零售销售数据将于香港时间下午14:00公布,可能进一步提振英镑。不过,这一数据预计将较上月下降0.5%,远低于4月份1.2%的增幅。

英国央行的观点是,3.4%的通胀率将在未来几个月保持高位,但在失业率上升的推动下,明年将回落。这应该会损害工资需求并降低通胀。近期油价走高有可能抵消这一影响。

“利率仍在逐步下行,尽管我们今天维持利率不变,”央行行长贝利表示。“世界是高度不可预测的。”

自去年8月首次将利率从16年高点5.25%下调25个基点以来,英国央行一直保持谨慎,每三个月降息一次。按照目前的路径,下一次降息将在8月份。

经济学家认为,这仍是最有可能的结果,但他们警告称,地缘政治事件风险可能导致重新评估。

“中东冲突的进一步升级可能推高英国通胀,这可能促使英国央行采取更为谨慎的行动,”Aberdeen Asset的Felix Feather表示。

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