美国股市本周有望再创新高

美国股市的技术面走势支持再次尝试走高。

SP 500 – Daily Chart

标准普尔500-日图

标普500指数在通道阻力线上方有此前两日的支撑位。如果市场没有任何令人震惊的消息,本周可能会上涨。

美国零售销售数据将于香港时间周二晚上八点半公布。该指数与上月持平,预计将上升0.2%。

零售数据不太可能显著改变当前的趋势,这是本周唯一高水平的数据。

尽管美国的牛市正在持续,但许多参与者对少数几只股票的关注越来越警惕,他们认为市场是一个坐等坏消息的活靶子。

所谓的“瑰丽七股”正在越来越多地推动市场。根据Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS)的数据,过去一个月,这些股票上涨了11%,大约是标准普尔500指数ETF信托基金(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust) 4%涨幅的三倍。

更糟糕的是,最显著的涨幅仅由三只股票推动:英伟达、微软和苹果。标准普尔500指数继续上涨,而大多数成分股持平或下跌。

这使得购买和持有美国股票存在风险,但仍有可能进行交易,并遵循当前的趋势。由于本周缺乏数据,如果没有坏消息,该指数可能会继续走高,投资者可能会关注苹果公司,该公司在其开发者大会后股价飙升。

投资银行高盛策略师周五将标普500指数的年终目标从5,200点上调至5,600点,指出”获利修正低于平均水平,且公允价值市盈率更高。”

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