美国的通胀数据未能触发科技股反弹

受一些喜忧参半的通胀数据影响,美国纳斯达克100指数周三下跌。

NAS 100 – Daily Chart

纳斯达克100日线图

周三,纳斯达克100指数的价格显示出潜在的看跌背景,这可能是通胀数据公布后的一个警告信号。

特朗普总统一直批评美联储主席鲍威尔未能降低利率。

现在,他的副总统JD万斯也把矛头指向鲍威尔。他说:

万斯写道:“总统这么说已经有一段时间了,但更明确的是:美联储拒绝降息是货币政策上的不当行为。”

美联储主席鲍威尔下周可能无法提高利率,并暗示他希望利率保持在高位。在贸易战导致油价迅速反弹至峰值之后,这可能会动摇市场近期的自满情绪。科技股多头的另一个担忧是,最近的财报季并没有提振科技股市场。

5月份,美国消费者价格的涨幅低于预期。汽油价格的下跌部分抵消了租金上涨的影响。然而,在特朗普政府征收进口关税的背景下,预计未来几个月通胀将大幅上升。这可能意味着美联储主席将在更长的时间内继续谈论更高的利率。在最近日本债券市场需求不足之后,他可能仍会维持利率不变,以吸引债券投资者。

零售业巨头沃尔玛上个月表示,它将在5月底和6月开始涨价。预计下周三美联储将维持利率不变,金融市场预期9月份将放松货币政策。

麻省理工学院的Daniel Hornung表示:“这份报告是另一个指标,表明我们正朝着在关税和经济不确定性出现之前通胀回落到目标水平的方向前进,未来进展的主要障碍是与关税相关的价格上涨。”

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黄金反弹至4100美元上方,因投资者在美国CPI公布前调整仓位

周四金价回升至4100美元上方,XAUUSD现货黄金报4145美元,上涨1.1%,因投资者在周五关键的美国通胀报告出炉前重新调整头寸。此前,中国股市连续两天大幅下跌,周二出现五年来最大单日跌幅。 金价反弹之际,地缘政治紧张局势再起,美国前总统特朗普对中国的贸易言论略有软化,这些因素重振了对传统避险货币的需求。特朗普政府宣布对俄罗斯石油巨头卢克石油公司和俄罗斯石油公司实施新的制裁,以应对莫斯科在乌克兰的战争,这增强了黄金的吸引力。

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