原油价格在近期区间交易后寻找催化剂

USOIL – Daily Chart

美国原油-日图

在寻找下一个突破和方向时,美国原油价格处于一个狭窄的范围内。阻力位在73-74美元,支撑位在70美元之前。

在美国和俄罗斯石油供应中断后,油价周三走高,连续三天上涨。石油交易商也在关注乌克兰和平谈判的细节。

俄罗斯报告称,周二,在乌克兰无人机袭击后,通过里海管道联盟(CPC)的石油流量减少了30-40%,CPC是哈萨克斯坦的主要石油出口路线。据路透社报道,减产30%意味着每天市场供应减少38万桶。

与此同时,美国的霜冻威胁到美国的供应,美国北达科他州管道管理局估计,由于寒冷的天气,该州的产量可能减少多达15万桶/天。

如果与乌克兰正在进行的和平谈判取得突破,俄罗斯的石油供应可能在未来几周或几个月内增加。原油价格在1月份大幅上涨,但随后暴跌,近期的价格走势可能受到进一步供应的影响。

《华尔街日报》的一项调查显示,美国原油库存可能连续第四周增加,而汽油库存保持不变。调查显示,截至2月14日当周,商业原油库存预计增加240万桶,至4.3亿桶。其中八家预计会增加,两家预计会减少,预计将增加660万桶至减少140万桶。

油价需要一个积极的催化剂,才能进一步远离70美元附近的支撑位,库存和乌克兰和平谈判将是近期的推动因素。

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