美伊和平谈判破裂,油价飙升逾3%

周一,由于美国和伊朗未能就华盛顿起草的和平方案达成一致,霍尔木兹海峡的关闭将持续,全球能源供应趋紧,油价应声上涨逾3%。

wti-vs-brent-chart-5-nov-2026

截至格林尼治标准时间22:03,布伦特原油期货上涨3.21美元,涨幅3.17%,至每桶104.50美元;美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)期货上涨3.06美元,涨幅3.21%,至每桶98.48美元。

美国总统特朗普称谈判破裂“完全不可接受”,这使得人们对部分停火和重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的希望破灭。霍尔木兹海峡是全球约20%海上石油贸易的咽喉要道。

冲突背景

自2月下旬以来,紧张局势不断升级。当时,在美国支持的行动下,伊朗港口和霍尔木兹海峡遭到封锁,导致石油运输停滞,全球能源价格飙升。

4月初脆弱的停火协议曾短暂缓解了油价,但谈判屡屡失败,导致供应受限,库存和战略储备不断减少。

市场影响

此次油价飙升扭转了近期因巴基斯坦会谈带来的短暂乐观情绪而出现的下跌,凸显了石油市场对中东地缘政治的敏感性。

由于燃料成本上涨引发通胀担忧,股指期货小幅走低。与此同时,沙特阿美等能源公司报告称,由于改道管道满负荷运转,利润有所增长。

更广泛的影响

分析师警告称,持续的供应中断可能将油价推高至每桶110美元,加剧全球通胀,并给依赖进口石油的经济体带来压力。

西方国家已向该地区部署军舰,而能源领导人则表示,如果问题得不到解决,市场将濒临崩溃的边缘。

关于作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亚太区首席分析师,在全球外汇及投资市场拥有逾 20 年的经验。他毕业于迪肯大学(Deakin University),主修金融与经济学,并曾在多家领先的外汇经纪公司担任高级管理职位。

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