原油价格可能在目前水平上锁定低点

石油输出国组织最近提议推迟减产后,原油价格可能会反弹。

USOIL - Weekly Chart

美国原油-周图

上周油价强劲反弹,已使油价回升至每桶70美元上方,并可能进一步上涨。第一个阻力位在75美元左右。

此前,美国能源情报署(EIA)的每周报告显示,美国石油库存降至2290万桶,为2007年以来的最低水平。石油交易员现在将把注意力重新放在欧佩克的最新预测上,该组织将全球石油需求下调了21万桶/日。

美国能源情报署(EIA)的报告称,俄克拉荷马州库欣的原油库存在减少130万桶后,出现了自9月初以来的最大降幅。据彭博社报道,来自加拿大的进口下降可能加剧了下降。

欧佩克+联盟正在考虑推迟明年的增产计划,原因是需求疲软,以及来自非盟国的竞争生产,这可能会使油价在2025年之前停滞不前

欧佩克八个成员国计划从1月1日起恢复220万桶/日的产量。然而,分析师们现在认为,在监测需求的同时,他们可能会将加息推迟3个月。

由于经济疲软,中国的需求持续疲软,价格仍然低迷。与今年晚些时候其他市场一样,刺激措施带来的反弹也逐渐消退。全球紧张局势仍然是一个威胁,如果出现低点,可能会加剧反弹。

最近的新闻
黄金反弹至4100美元上方,因投资者在美国CPI公布前调整仓位

周四金价回升至4100美元上方,XAUUSD现货黄金报4145美元,上涨1.1%,因投资者在周五关键的美国通胀报告出炉前重新调整头寸。此前,中国股市连续两天大幅下跌,周二出现五年来最大单日跌幅。 金价反弹之际,地缘政治紧张局势再起,美国前总统特朗普对中国的贸易言论略有软化,这些因素重振了对传统避险货币的需求。特朗普政府宣布对俄罗斯石油巨头卢克石油公司和俄罗斯石油公司实施新的制裁,以应对莫斯科在乌克兰的战争,这增强了黄金的吸引力。

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