原油价格可能在目前水平上锁定低点

石油输出国组织最近提议推迟减产后,原油价格可能会反弹。

USOIL - Weekly Chart

美国原油-周图

上周油价强劲反弹,已使油价回升至每桶70美元上方,并可能进一步上涨。第一个阻力位在75美元左右。

此前,美国能源情报署(EIA)的每周报告显示,美国石油库存降至2290万桶,为2007年以来的最低水平。石油交易员现在将把注意力重新放在欧佩克的最新预测上,该组织将全球石油需求下调了21万桶/日。

美国能源情报署(EIA)的报告称,俄克拉荷马州库欣的原油库存在减少130万桶后,出现了自9月初以来的最大降幅。据彭博社报道,来自加拿大的进口下降可能加剧了下降。

欧佩克+联盟正在考虑推迟明年的增产计划,原因是需求疲软,以及来自非盟国的竞争生产,这可能会使油价在2025年之前停滞不前

欧佩克八个成员国计划从1月1日起恢复220万桶/日的产量。然而,分析师们现在认为,在监测需求的同时,他们可能会将加息推迟3个月。

由于经济疲软,中国的需求持续疲软,价格仍然低迷。与今年晚些时候其他市场一样,刺激措施带来的反弹也逐渐消退。全球紧张局势仍然是一个威胁,如果出现低点,可能会加剧反弹。

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