美联储降息后黄金价格飙升

总结

美联储降息50个基点后,金价飙升至记录新高。地缘政治紧张局势和央行的购买行为推动了这一举措,尽管人们担心经济衰退即将来临。

美联储降息50个基点后,黄金价格飙升。

XAUUSD – Weekly Chart

现货黄金-周线图

金价自3月份以来一路飙升,突破2074美元的历史高点,目前已升至2622美元。在这里,买入并持有的策略可能是危险的,但投资者可以顺势而为,直到形势发生变化。

上周,美联储降息,进一步推高了金价的看涨基调。美联储将利率下调50个基点,这是分析师预期的上限。

美联储转向宽松周期的举动加剧了紧张的地缘政治环境,以色列加强了对贝鲁特的袭击,乌克兰继续扩大对俄罗斯的攻击。

金价面临的一个风险是,美联储大幅降息可能定下衰退基调。

荷兰合作银行对美联储主席鲍威尔降息50个基点的理由不以为然,称降息是由于经济健康。

分析师表示:“在过去,美联储只有在经济或市场严重恶化的情况下,比如互联网泡沫和全球金融危机,才会在降息周期开始时降息50个基点。”

过去两年,央行的买盘也是金价的一大推动因素,但中国最大的买家之一已暂停购买黄金。中国连续18个月购买黄金,但8月份已连续4个月暂停购买。

中国央行是2023年全球最大的黄金单一买家,其暂停购买黄金的决定也在近几个月减缓了中国散户投资者的需求。

就目前而言,金价正在强劲上涨,而且在经济数据出现变化之前,金价将一直走高。

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