黄金ETF资金流入结束了连续12个月的下跌

黄金ETF在经历了12个月的资金外流后,终于迎来了投资者的回归,原因是金价创下历史新高。

Gold – Daily Chart

黄金-日线图

金价在2,235美元水平反弹消退,可能会测试2,282美元的支撑位。如果这一水平被突破,那么价格可能会迅速下跌。

根据世界黄金协会最新的月度报告,实物支持的黄金ETF一年来首次出现月度资金流入,达到5.29亿美元。贵金属价格的走强和资金流入推动黄金ETF管理的资产(AUM)达到2340亿美元,增长2%。

5月份美国和欧洲/亚洲之间的资金流动有所不同。在连续两个月流入之后,5月份北美地区的黄金流入量回落至负1.39亿美元。然而,与该地区前几个月的资金流出相比,5月份的负增长是自2019年12月以来最小的。今年北美地区的资金流出总额达到43亿美元。在1月和2月的大规模基金抛售推动下,这一比例仅次于欧洲。

5月份流入欧洲的资金为2.87亿美元,结束了连续12个月的下跌。亚洲录得连续第15个月的资金流入,5月份新增3.98亿美元。然而,这是该地区自2023年11月以来最少量的资金流入。中国再次成为该地区的驱动力,需求达2.53亿美元。

亚洲是2024年唯一有资金流入的地区,为26亿美元。随着中东局势紧张,投资者转向避险资产,金价5月大涨。局势朝停火的缓慢推进,已经降低了黄金价格的一些需求。

市场还预计美联储将在6月份提前降息,但这一预期已被尽快推迟到9月份。本周有利的通胀数据略微扭转了局面,但黄金并未从这一变化中受益。

“鲍威尔承认,在看到今天的数据后,联邦公开市场委员会有机会改变预测,他强调这是一份好的报告,这发出了一个明确的信息:‘现在还不要发出枢轴党邀请,’”纽约金属交易员Tai Wong说。

“金价将继续与就业和通胀数据挂钩。”

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