美联储降息预期推动金价创历史新高

随着有关美联储9月降息的猜测升温,买家对黄金的兴趣依然浓厚。

XAUUSD 4-hour chart

黄金 4-小时图

黄金延续了近期的涨势,在周三亚洲交易时段触及2476-2477美元区间附近的新高。美联储官员最近的声明巩固了对9月份开始新一轮降息的预期。因此,美国国债收益率仍处于低位,接近数月低点,这为黄金作为一种无收益资产提供了支撑。

即使美元小幅升值(这通常会削弱黄金等以美元计价的大宗商品的吸引力),市场对黄金的看涨情绪仍然强劲。考虑到当前全球股市的上涨趋势,这一点尤其值得注意,因为这通常预示着风险偏好情绪。在这种背景下,对避险金属的需求仍然保持弹性,这一事实凸显了黄金的看涨倾向,尽管出现小幅超买可能会缓和涨势。

美联储官员最近的声明强化了9月份降息的预期,促使投资者对无收益黄金价格的兴趣增加。周一,美联储主席鲍威尔表示,第二季度通胀数据表明,在实现通胀目标方面取得了进展。

从技术面的角度来看,黄金正表现出强劲的看涨势头,积极地创造更高的高点和更高的低点,而没有回调。目前,该货币对在趋势线支撑位上方交易,表明其有进一步上涨的潜力。然而,在当前的价格点上建议谨慎,因为潜在回调的风险更高。等待回调后再考虑多头头寸可能是明智的,因为这将提供更好的风险回报比。

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