差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

聯準會降息預期推動金價創歷史新高

隨著聯準會9月降息的猜測升溫,買家對黃金的興趣依然濃厚。

XAUUSD 4-hour chart

黃金 4-小時圖

黃金延續了近期的漲勢,在周三亞洲交易時段觸及2476-2477美元區間附近的新高。聯準會官員最近的聲明鞏固了對9月開始新一輪降息的預期。因此,美國公債殖利率仍處於低位,接近數月低點,這為黃金作為一種無收益資產提供了支撐。

即使美元小幅升值(這通常會削弱黃金等以美元計價的大宗商品的吸引力),市場對黃金的看漲情緒仍然強勁。考慮到當前全球股市的上漲趨勢,這一點尤其值得注意,因為這通常預示著風險偏好情緒。在這種背景下,對避險金屬的需求仍然保持彈性,這一事實凸顯了黃金的看漲傾向,儘管出現小幅超買可能會緩和漲勢。

聯準會官員最近的聲明強化了9月降息的預期,促使投資人對無收益黃金價格的興趣增加。週一,聯準會主席鮑威爾表示,第二季通膨數據表明,在實現通膨目標方面取得了進展。

從技術面的角度來看,黃金正表現出強勁的看漲勢頭,積極地創造更高的高點和更高的低點,而沒有回調。目前,該貨幣對在趨勢線支撐位上方交易,顯示其有進一步上漲的潛力。然而,在目前的價格點上建議謹慎,因為潛在回檔的風險更高。等待回調後再考慮多頭部位可能是明智的,因為這將提供更好的風險回報比。

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