德国股市投资者衡量债务改革的影响

GER 30 – Daily Chart

GER30指数-日线图

GER30指数反弹至3月份的高点23,493点,目前已跌至22,957点。短期内有可能出现回调,从22400点支撑位开始。

德国解除债务刹车的历史性转变,预计将重塑欧洲经济,掀起一波公共支出浪潮,可能提振整个欧元区的增长。

高盛分析师列出了12家防务领域的欧洲公司,它们可能受益于机场运营和可再生能源等行业的支出热潮。

德国联合政府设立了一项5000亿欧元的基础设施基金,相当于2024年GDP的11.6%,将在未来十年内发放。该基金旨在改造该国的基础设施,促进能源转型,并增加对住房和交通的投资。

这位德国新领导人打破了该国严格的开支规定,将军事开支从宪法债务规定中豁免。这样一来,每年额外的军事升级费用将达到110亿欧元。

高盛金融分析师克里斯蒂安•穆勒-格里斯曼表示:“各资产对欧洲与美国的通货再膨胀风险进行了实质性的重新定价。”

高盛表示,化工公司巴斯夫(BASF)在中国的100亿欧元在线投资可能会改善现金流。意昂集团可以从对电网的投资中获益,西门子能源公司可以从转向天然气发电厂中获益,天然气发电厂占集团收入的31%。

风力涡轮机制造商和物流公司也可能从财政政策的转变中受益。尽管德国经济陷入困境,但股市一直在飙升,政府支出将受到密切关注。

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