英镑兑美元汇率淡化美元看跌走势

由于英国的金融压力超过了看跌美元的影响,英镑兑美元汇率大幅下跌。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart

英镑兑美元-日线图

英镑兑美元大跌,在日线图上形成了一个看跌的蜡烛形态。这可能会打开1.3142的支撑位,这是较低水平的防线。

英镑出现自2023年以来的最大单日跌幅,突显出在人们对工党政府的经济方向日益感到担忧之际,英国市场的脆弱性。

劳埃德银行外汇策略师尼克•肯尼迪说,英国的财政背景“危险”,随着时间的推移,这种情况只会变得更糟。

他表示:“英国的财政背景一直很危险,这种情况将继续下去。”“今年夏天,利率市场出现了一些风险溢价。投资者现在也希望英镑获得更多的风险溢价。”

英国首相凯尔·斯塔默开始重组他的经济团队,在关键预算之前,他引入了三名经济顾问与陷入困境的财政大臣一起工作。

由于年度预算不太可能在2025年11月之前举行,英国正面临着数周关于潜在增税的猜测,这可能会进一步抑制投资和消费者信心。

BlueBay资产管理公司基金经理Neil Mehta表示:“随着每一次金边债券的‘插曲’以及随后收益率的上升,我们正越来越接近尾声,届时政府的选择将用尽。”

他补充说:“最后的结局可能是政府违背宣言承诺,甚至可能是斯塔默/里夫斯的终结,但最终英国的经济问题(能源、住房、劳动力)更深,这可能需要更长的时间和更大的政治动荡。”

英镑在全球反美元的主题下走高,但法国和英国近期的金融压力可能导致美元出现反弹。

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