黄金周线图显示走强迹象

过去三周黄金光泽有所减弱,但可能只是让部分投资者止步。

XAUUSD – Weekly Chart

现货黄金–周线图

现货黄金周线图显示,在跌至4400美元后强劲收盘。这可能预示着投机性抛售结束,黄金价格可能从当前位置继续走高。

尽管短期波动,但预计未来几个月黄金价格将保持支撑。根据Geojit Investments最新发布的黄金报告,在经历了剧烈波动抹去了1月份近一半的涨幅后,黄金价格已稳定在每盎司 5000美元这一重要的心理关口上方。

1月份,伦敦现货金价一度触及每盎司5594美元的历史新高,随后市场崩盘。此次回调的驱动因素是美国降息预期降低以及地缘政治紧张局势缓和。

黄金前景的关键驱动因素是强劲的投资需求。近期报告显示,2025年全球黄金总需求量将首次突破5000吨,推动其市场总值达到5550亿美元。

全球黄金交易所交易基金(ETF)的持仓量增加了800吨,创下历史第二高的年度增幅。金条和金币的需求同样强劲,实物黄金避险需求创下12年来的新高。

新年伊始,黄金ETF市场也表现强劲,1月份资金流入量达到190亿美元,创历史新高。这使得全球黄金ETF的管理资产规模达到创纪录的6690亿美元。全球黄金总持仓量也突破4000吨,达到历史新高,表明投资者对黄金作为避险资产的信心十足。

尽管投资者对黄金市场感到困惑,但这或许只是投机交易者的一次洗牌。地缘政治和黄金购买的潜在趋势依然存在。

最近的新闻
强劲的美国就业数据提振对利率长期维持高位的预期,金价跌至每盎司4450美元附近

周三,受强于预期的美国就业报告的影响,金价跌至每盎司4450美元附近。该报告强化了市场对美联储将维持高利率更长时间的预期,削弱了这种无收益贵金属的吸引力。 现货黄金下跌0.79%,至每盎司4451.60美元左右,从近期4500美元以上的高位回落。交易员减少了对美联储提前降息的押注。此次下跌是在美国劳动力市场持续展现韧性之后发生的,最新的就业数据超出预期,降低了政策制定者近期放松货币政策的压力。

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美元走强,JOLTS就业岗位空缺升至近两年来最高,聚焦周五非农就业

美元走强,此前美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示,4月份职位空缺激增至761.8万个,创下2024年6月以来的最高水平,远高于分析师此前预测的680万个。 美元指数(DXY)衡量美元兑六种主要货币的汇率,在数据公布后一度攀升至99.20附近。4月份职位空缺较3月份修正后的688.7万个增加了73.1万个,创下近两年来最大的月度增幅。

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受美伊停火协议影响,比特币跌至六周低点

周四,比特币价格跌破73,000美元,触及逾六周以来的最低水平。据交易员和市场数据显示,美国对伊朗再次发动军事打击,加剧了地缘政治的不确定性,并给全球风险资产带来压力。 市值最大的加密货币比特币在早盘交易中下跌约4%,一度跌至72,700美元附近,延续了本周早些时候的跌势。以太坊和其他主要代币也出现下跌。

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