欧元兑美元汇率跃至关键阻力位上方

欧元兑美元汇率将聚焦欧洲央行行长拉加德发表讲话。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

欧元兑美元-日线图

欧元兑美元周二大涨,最近的走势已经清除了之前的阻力位。如果该货币对保持在1.1831上方,这将为该货币对在未来几周的进一步上涨奠定基础。

欧洲央行行长拉加德不到一周前发表了讲话,可能不会偏离她之前的言论太多。在那次演讲中,她表示,“反通胀过程已经结束”,通胀“处于良好水平”。她补充说,国内经济正在显示出弹性,但法国经济和领导层的变化给这一点蒙上了阴影。

拉加德将于香港时间周四下午3点10分发表演讲。她还表示,不急于干预债券市场以支持法国。政治不稳定以及无法解决不断增长的公共债务问题,令债券市场的投资者感到担忧。

在欧洲央行决定维持利率不变后,她表示:“欧元区主权债券秩序良好,运行平稳,流动性良好。”法国总理贝鲁的政府垮台,在失望的公民周末举行抗议后,一位新领导人迅速上台。

“还有一套规则……成员国必须遵守。”他说:“我确信,所有政府,无论在哪里,都会希望在这个财政框架的基础上运作。”这确实意味着法国的情况没有立即解决的办法。

欧洲央行执委会成员施纳贝尔上周对路透表示,法国必须采取措施巩固财政并提振经济成长。不过,她并不认为这会给欧元区带来更广泛的问题。

在美国,市场对美联储的未来走势持观望态度。交易员希望看到美联储在年底前连续降息,在此期间情况将继续如此。

欧元触及四年来的最高水平,交易员预计9月份将降息,同时德国经济也传出积极消息。美元兑全球货币持续走低,欧元创出新高表明,美元的弱势可能会持续下去。

荷兰合作银行的Jane Foley表示:“有关美联储可能即将采取一系列降息措施的猜测,继续削弱美元。”她补充称,“德国公布的经济乐观情绪基调好转,重新点燃了对欧元的热情。”

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