随着央行利率决定的到来,美元兑日元备受关注

由于日本央行和美联储的利率决定,美元兑日元汇率可能会出现波动。

USDJPY – Daily Chart
美元兑日元-日线图

美元兑日元交易于144.11,下方支撑位142.40开始发挥作用。进一步的支撑位在140下方。

除了日本央行和美联储的会议外,随着中东局势再度紧张,日元可能会看到来自避险需求的投资流入。

周二上午是日本央行利率会议,新闻发布会定于香港时间下午2:30举行。路透社对经济学家进行的一项调查显示,由于美国关税政策的不确定性,日本央行今年将不会再次加息。经济学家预计,下一次加息将在2026年初。

在6月2-10日的调查中,受访的60位经济学家中没有人预计日本央行会在6月16-17日的政策会议上加息。52%的经济学家预计年底借款成本将维持在0.50%的水平。

下一个重要的数据点将是周三的美联储会议,预计特朗普总统将在会议上向他的降息目标施加压力。特朗普再次要求央行降息100个基点,即1%,此前周三公布了新的消费者通胀数据。

特朗普称5月份的消费者价格指数是一个“伟大”的数字,并表示“美联储应该降息整整一个百分点”。

这将继续成为一个话题,最多只降息25个基点,可能会引发特朗普和鲍威尔之间的紧张关系。

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