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The vast majority of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs / Spread betting with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs / Spread betting work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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EURUSD In Focus With US Debt Ceiling and Economic Data

EURUSD should be closely watched with the US debt ceiling over the next week.

EURUSD – Daily Chart

EURUSD – Daily Chart

The price of EURUSD is testing another support line at 1.0758 and has room below the 1.0525 level. 

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that signs of market stress are beginning to emerge with the default date moving closer. She added that the Biden administration is not preparing for a default and is focusing on completing a debt-limit deal. 

"We are committed to not having missed payments and raising the debt ceiling," Yellen said. "We're not involved in planning for what happens if there's a default," Yellen added. 

"It's highly likely that we would run out of resources to meet all the government's obligations in early June and possibly as early as June 1," she told the conference. "We no longer see very much likelihood that our resources will enable us to get to the middle or end of June." 

With only eight days before the US government enters a potential default on over $31 trillion in debt, the negotiations between the White House and members of the House GOP's team are not settled. Reports say they are switching between being positive and crumbling. 

"There is a significant gap between where we are and where they are on finances… and unless and until the White House recognizes that this is a spending problem, we're going to continue to have a significant gap," Garrett Graves said.

EURUSD Forecast

The US economy will be back in focus on Friday with a second estimate for Q1 GDP. The forecast is for 1.1% annual growth. Friday brings pricing data with the release of PCE, followed by durable goods orders and Michigan consumer sentiment. 

Traders should watch the US dollar closely as the debt ceiling nears, with the potential for volatility that could rattle other markets. 

The market was awaiting FOMC minutes on Wednesday that should give some insight into the thoughts of the Federal Reserve. Some feel the central bank is done with interest rate hikes, but officials have hinted at one or two more this year.

Last Updated: 25/05/2023

This market commentary and analysis has been prepared for ATFX by a third party for general information purposes only. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell as it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives, and should therefore not be interpreted as financial, investment or other advice, or relied upon as such. You should therefore seek independent advice before making any investment decisions. This information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. We aim to establish and maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. The market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however we make no representation or warranty of its accuracy or completeness, and accept no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients. Reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, is not permitted.


 

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